The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Alex De Minaur meets Jakub Mensik at the United Cup on hard courts on 06 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three match offering an early-season marker.
This preview covers how to watch or follow the match live, and why the early angles matter: De Minaur has dominated this match-up so far, but Mensik's recent run looks steadier. With the 2026 season only just beginning, the freshest numbers need handling with care.FINISHED
De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
6-4
, 6-1
Alex De Minaur leads 4-0 against Jakub Mensik, and all four meetings have come on hard courts, so the match-up history is hard to ignore. Their latest clash in Beijing in September 2025 ended early via retirement, while earlier wins included straight-sets victories in Vienna (indoor) and Rotterdam (indoor), which has helped De Minaur keep control of the rivalry's tempo.
De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
The hard-court season data is barely underway, which fits the broader note of caution around early-January readings. De Minaur sits at 0-1 on the surface so far, with limited efficiency figures available, while Mensik has no recorded hard-court results yet this season, leaving the wider body of evidence to do more of the work.
Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.
Across their last 10 matches overall, De Minaur is 3-7 while Mensik is 5-5, and that difference shows up in early momentum: Mensik has won 60% of first sets compared with De Minaur's 40%.
Mensik has also been stronger when matches stretch, winning 75% of deciding sets to De Minaur's 33%, even if De Minaur has carried the slightly heavier recent workload in total time on court.De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Bookmakers price Alex De Minaur at 1.33 against Jakub Mensik at 3.35, and the first-set prices follow the same shape at 1.44 versus 2.66. It is a clear market vote, though the season being new can add a touch of uncertainty to any early read.
Mensik's serve output stands out, with double-digit aces per match across his last 10, and he has posted big ace numbers even in this rivalry, so short bursts can swing sets quickly.
Yet De Minaur has repeatedly found ways to hold firm under pressure in their meetings, and the overall pattern - plus the pricing - points to him being better placed to absorb the big moments, provided he handles the early-season timing and Mensik's first-strike spells.Prediction
Alex De Minaur
Jakub Mensik
The indicators tilt towards Alex De Minaur, with the market pricing him clearly shorter and the head-to-head standing at 4-0 in his favour. Mensik's recent form is more stable and his serve can shorten passages, but over a best-of-three the balance still points slightly more towards De Minaur.
Odds
