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ATP/Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP - Play Offs (indoor)/Semi-finals

Blockx v Budkov Kjaer live stream: Next Gen Finals semi-final preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Dec 20, 2025(..)

Alexander Blockx faces Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Next Gen Finals in Jeddah semi-finals on Saturday, 20 December, a hard-court indoor contest played as best-of-five sets.

A place in the final is on the line. Blockx is priced as the clear favourite and arrives with nine wins from his last ten matches, but Budkov Kjaer has stacked up hard-court wins of his own this season and can punish short spells. Below is the form and odds picture, plus how to watch or follow the semi-final live.

FINISHED

Blockx A.

3
0

Budkov Kjaer N.

4-3

, 4-3

, 4-2

Hard-court season numbers lean to Blockx’s hold

On hard courts this season, Blockx is 37–19 and has held 85% of his service games, a platform that keeps sets on his terms. Budkov Kjaer is 25–11 and converts break points at 49%, so he does not need many looks to swing a set. Both arrive with Challenger titles on the surface, but Blockx’s higher holding rate and break-point saving (64% versus 58%) stands out in a longer match.

Blockx brings momentum into Jeddah

Blockx’s last 10 matches read 9–1, and he has come through recent tests in Jeddah against Justin Engel, Nishesh Basavareddy and Dino Prizmic while still keeping his serve solid. Budkov Kjaer is 4–6 across the same span, and although he has recent wins over Martin Landaluce and Rafael Jodar, he last went down in four sets to Learner Tien.

The recent serving trend is clear: Blockx has won 91% of service games in that stretch, while Budkov Kjaer sits at 79% and has almost double the double faults per match (2.8 to 1.3), which can matter in tight moments.

Alexander Blockx v. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Live Streaming

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Bookmakers see a clear favourite

Bookmakers price Alexander Blockx at 1.32 against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 3.45; first-set prices 1.48 versus 2.65. That gap reflects Blockx’s recent consistency, even with the match moving into a best-of-five format.

Blockx A.

Budkov Kjaer N.

Win Percentage
90 %40 %
Titles
1 0
Aces per match
9.3 7.1
Double Faults per match
1.3 2.8
First Serve Points Won
78 %75 %
Second Serve Points Won
54 %45 %
Return Points Won
39 %35 %
Break Points Converted
42 %47 %
Break Points Saved
78 %58 %

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Best-of-five puts pressure on second serves

With no previous meeting recorded between them, the early exchanges on serve should shape the match quickly, especially if either player offers a run of second-serve looks. Budkov Kjaer’s season-long break conversion suggests he can flip sets when chances appear, but he may need to create more of them against a server who has been hard to dent lately.

Both are on back-to-back schedules and have logged just over four hours across their last three matches, yet Blockx’s last five have taken 9 hours 14 minutes compared with Budkov Kjaer’s 7 hours 15 minutes, a small workload note in a longer contest.

Prediction

Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP - Play Offs (indoor)PICK

Alexander Blockx

74%
Predicted Winner

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Overall indicators tilt towards Alexander Blockx: the market makes him a clear favourite and his last-10 serving base (91% service games won) has been steadier than Nicolai Budkov Kjaer’s. The best-of-five format leaves room for swings, and Budkov Kjaer’s stronger break-point conversion on hard courts keeps the upset route open. Still, the balance of form and price points slightly more towards Blockx.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

23.5

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