Rublev v Wu live stream guide and Hong Kong ATP last-16 preview

Andrey Rublev and Yibing Wu meet in the Hong Kong ATP last 16 on hard courts on 07 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three format and early-season momentum on the line.

Alongside details on how to watch or follow live, the key question is whether Rublev's pedigree holds up against Wu's sharper recent record, with the new campaign still only just settling into place.

Rublev edged the only meeting

Their head-to-head is limited to a single match, but it was a revealing one: Rublev beat Wu 2-1 at Halle in June 2023. It went the distance and even included a tie-break, a reminder that Wu can stay with him for long stretches when the margins tighten.

Early-season numbers come with a health warning

This tournament is still shaping the first real sample of 2026, and Rublev has not yet logged a win or loss on hard courts this season.

Wu, by contrast, is 1-0 and that lone result came fast, with an average of 9.0 games in the match and perfect service protection in the data. It is a small slice, though, and the broader read needs more than one outing.

How to watch Andrey Rublev v. Yibing Wu Online

For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.

Wu's last-10 edge, despite a slow start in sets

Across the last 10 matches, Wu leads 6-4 while Rublev sits at 4-6, and the underlying profile leans Wu's way too, with a 49% break-point conversion rate compared with Rublev's 37%. Rublev has started faster more often, winning 40% of first sets to Wu's 30%, but Wu has been better when matches stretch, taking every deciding set in that sample.

The recent match logs also show Wu arriving off a straight-sets win over Fabian Marozsan on 05 Jan 2026, while Rublev's latest result was a loss to Ben Shelton in Paris on 30 Oct 2025.

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Bookmakers still lean Rublev

Bookmakers price Andrey Rublev at 1.5 against Yibing Wu at 2.63; first-set prices are 1.57 versus 2.38. The numbers point to Rublev as the expected winner, even if Wu's recent record keeps the matchup from feeling routine.

Pressure points: first strike versus staying power

The best indicator of how this could look on court is the clash between Rublev's heavier baseline authority and Wu's ability to hang in sets when it gets tight. Even in their only meeting, Rublev's edge came through stronger service control in the one-match snapshot, and he arrives with a significant rankings gap to back up the market stance.

Still, with the season just beginning and both players carrying similar court-time totals over their last five matches, Wu's steadier last-10 results suggest Rublev will want a clean start rather than a slow build.

Prediction

Odds