WTA/Limoges Chall. Women (indoor)/Quarter-finals

Kalinina v Parks live stream: Limoges quarter-final on indoor hard courts

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Dec 12, 2025(..)

Anhelina Kalinina faces Alycia Parks in the Limoges Challenger Women's quarter-finals on 12 Dec 2025, a best-of-three on hard courts with this preview also explaining how to watch or follow the match live. Parks arrives as the higher-ranked player, but the set-up is more nuanced than that.

Kalinina has won both previous meetings, and the bookmakers also edge her at 1.53. Parks' last-10 record is stronger, though, and her serve can change the shape of a match quickly.

FINISHED

Kalinina A.

2
1

Parks A.

7-5

, 1-6

, 6-3

Kalinina has won both meetings

Kalinina leads the rivalry 2-0, with no deciding sets required so far and an average of 20 games per match. Their most recent meeting came indoors on hard courts in Linz in February 2023, when Kalinina won in straight sets.

The numbers also hint at the pattern: Parks has produced more aces, but with far more double faults, while Kalinina has generally held serve more securely in the match-up.

Kalinina A.

Parks A.

Wins
2 0
First Serve Points Won
75 %66 %
Second Serve Points Won
67 %42 %
Return Points Won
46 %29 %
Break Points Converted
30 %50 %
Break Points Saved
50 %70 %

Hard-court returns tilt to Kalinina

On hard courts this season, Kalinina is 9-9, while Parks is 21-22. The hold rates are close at 70% for Kalinina and 72% for Parks, but the return figures lean Kalinina's way at 39% to 31%, which can matter in tight Challenger-level sets.

If she keeps converting chances at around 49%, she gives herself more looks on Parks' second serve.

Parks brings the better last-10 record

Parks has gone 6-4 across her last 10 matches, compared with 4-6 for Kalinina. She has also held serve 70% of the time in that stretch, while Kalinina sits at 60%, and Parks has won every deciding set she has played in that run.

The trade-off is risk: Parks has averaged seven double faults per match, which can hand momentum away fast.

Bookmakers edge Kalinina

Bookmakers price Kalinina at 1.53 against Parks at 2.38; first-set prices are 1.62 versus 2.2. The market is effectively backing Kalinina's steadier profile to hold up over a best-of-three.

Kalinina A.

Parks A.

Win Percentage
40 %60 %
Aces per match
1.1 7.3
Double Faults per match
1.9 6.9
First Serve Points Won
59 %71 %
Second Serve Points Won
43 %42 %
Return Points Won
43 %44 %
Break Points Converted
42 %51 %
Break Points Saved
55 %51 %

Serve pace versus return pressure

This looks like a contest between Parks' first-strike serving and Kalinina's ability to make enough returns to expose the second ball. Kalinina has carried a slightly heavier workload over the last three matches at 5 hours 10 minutes, but both players are in a similar range over five matches and neither is on a back-to-back.

If Parks keeps the free points flowing without the double-fault spikes, the match can swing quickly; if not, Kalinina's return numbers point to repeated openings.

Prediction

Limoges Chall. Women (indoor)PICK

Anhelina Kalinina

60%
Predicted Winner

Alycia Parks

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Anhelina Kalinina: she leads the rivalry 2-0 and the bookmakers also favour her at 1.53. The hard-court season profile adds a small edge too, with Kalinina's stronger return rate suggesting more chances to apply pressure across sets. Alycia Parks' recent 6-4 run keeps it live, but the balance of factors leans Kalinina.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

21.5

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