The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Ashlyn Krueger meets Elina Svitolina in the Indian Wells WTA last 16 on 10 March, with a quarter-final place at stake over the best of three sets on hard courts.
Svitolina comes in with the stronger hard-court record and the market firmly behind her, but their only previous meeting here went the distance and hinted at a competitive test. This preview looks at the main form lines, that earlier clash and how to follow the match live.FINISHED
Krueger A.
Svitolina E.
4-6
, 2-6
Their only previous meeting came at Indian Wells on hard courts last March, when Elina Svitolina came through in three sets in the first round. It was not a routine win: the contest stretched to 29 games and included a tie-break, but Svitolina held serve far more often and created twice as many break openings, which gives that result a little extra weight.
Krueger A.
Svitolina E.
On hard courts this season, Ashlyn Krueger is 6-6 and Elina Svitolina is 16-3. Their hold numbers are almost identical at about 74%, yet Svitolina has won 41% of return games to Krueger's 26% and converted 58% of break points, so she has been far more effective once rallies turn. She has also already lifted one title.
For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.
The recent split is tighter. Krueger has gone 6-4 across her last 10 matches, while Svitolina is 7-3, and the serve figures are similar again, but Svitolina's return work stands out with 36% of return games won and a 56% break-point conversion rate. She has also taken every deciding set in that spell, whereas Krueger is at 50%, which matters in a match-up that has already produced a three-setter.
Krueger A.
Svitolina E.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Bookmakers price Krueger at 4 and Svitolina at 1.25, with the first-set market at 3.4 against 1.33. That is a firm lean towards Svitolina, and it broadly matches both the hard-court data and the earlier meeting.
Krueger's best route is to keep the points short and protect the second serve. If she does that, this can stay tight. The counterpoint is that Svitolina has been the stronger returner over both the season and the last 10 matches, even if her recent workload is a little heavier with 11 hours across the last five outings and a back-to-back turnaround.
Prediction
Elina Svitolina
Ashlyn Krueger
The overall indicators tilt towards Elina Svitolina. Her hard-court season is stronger, the return numbers are clearly better and the market points in the same direction, while she also won the pair's only previous meeting at this event. Ashlyn Krueger has enough serve to keep the match competitive, but Svitolina looks the more likely winner over three sets.
Odds
