Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz.
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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz has ended. The winner of the match was Carlos Alcaraz. To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Statistics
Match Statistics
Stats
Service
11
Aces
11
8
Double Faults
4
61/95 (64%)
First serve
53/86 (62%)
26/34 (76%)
2nd serve
29/33 (88%)
15/34 (44%)
2nd serve pts
17/33 (52%)
16
Serv. games played
15
2/6 (33%)
Break pts saved
0/2 (0%)
Points
89
Total Pts
92
60
Srv. pts. won
57
29
Receiver pts. won
35
Games
14
Total games won
17
12
Srv. games won
13
Return
13/53 (24%)
1st serve return pts.
16/61 (26%)
16/33 (48%)
2nd serve return pts.
19/34 (55%)
2
Break pts conv.
4
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Live Stream
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Live Stream
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz
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Start Streaming Now!
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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Season Statistics
Head to Head Season Data
2025 Stats
49
Matches
57
1
Titles 2025
5
31
Won
51
18
Lost
6
63.27 %
Win Perc.
89.47 %
375
Aces
331
7.65
Avg. Aces/match
5.81
2.61
Doub. Faults Avg.
3.05
70
Sets Won
123
645
Games Won
905
53.3% (8/15)
Best of 3 Won
78.6% (11/14)
0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Won
100% (2/2)
64% (16/25)
Tiebreaks Won
61.9% (13/21)
88 hrs, 28 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
118 hrs, 10 mins
1 hrs, 48 mins
ToC/Match
2 hrs, 4 mins
6 hrs, 13 mins
ToC current tour
4 hrs, 37 mins
63.8% (349/547)
Pressure Points Won
67.4% (507/752)
36.2% (198/547)
Pressure Points Lost
32.6% (245/752)
11
ATP Rank
2
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz H2H Matches
Head to Head Matches
H2H Matches
1
Wins
3
1

Clay
0
0

Hard Ind.
2
0

Grass
1
Matches (4)
6 Jul 2025
Carlos Alcaraz
13 Nov 2024
Alcaraz C.
1 May 2024
Rublev A.
Carlos Alcaraz holds a slight head-to-head advantage over Andrey Rublev, but the margin is not significant. This is the first time the two players will be facing each other on an outdoor hard court.
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Surface Season Statistics
Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
2025 hard out stats
21
Matches
17
1
Titles 2025
0
13
Won
13
8
Lost
4
61.9 %
Win Perc.
76.47 %
179
Aces
110
8.52
Avg. Aces/match
6.47
67
Doub. Faults
55
3.19
Doub. Faults Avg.
3.24
55
Break Points (BP)
69
2.62
BP Converted Avg
4.06
65.14 %
BP Saved
60.76 %
77.67 %
First Serve Pts
75.41 %
51.86 %
Second Serve Pts
56.65 %
65.2% (159/244)
Pressure Pts Won
66.5% (119/179)
34.8% (85/244)
Pressure Pts Lost
33.5% (60/179)
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Prediction for Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Judging from the ATP rankings, it's obvious that Carlos Alcaraz has a big advantage over Andrey Rublev.
Chances by Odds
Andrey Rublev
Carlos Alcaraz
21.1%
78.9%
Chances by Form
Andrey Rublev
Carlos Alcaraz
26.1%
73.9%
Final Chances
Andrey Rublev
Carlos Alcaraz
23.6%
76.4%
Match Winner

76.4 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Carlos Alcaraz, by a comfortable margin.
Match Winner

76.4 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Carlos Alcaraz, by a comfortable margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.

Current season yields for Andrey Rublev. Total Matches: 49. As favorite: 42. As underdog: 7.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
49
-6.03
-12.31%
Favorite
420
-53.3
-12.69%
Underdog
70
-7
-10%

Current season yields for Carlos Alcaraz. Total Matches: 55. As favorite: 52. As underdog: 3.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
55
1.22
2.22%
Favorite
520
-0.8
-0.15%
Underdog
30
13
43.33%
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds
PreMatch Odds for Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Win Match
Odds
Andrey Rublev
4.5
Carlos Alcaraz
1.2
First Set Winner
Odds
Andrey Rublev
3.5
Carlos Alcaraz
1.3
Handicap 2-Way - Games Won
Odds
Andrey Rublev (+3.5)
2.2
Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5)
1.615
Total Games 2-Way
Odds
Over 21.5
1.727
Under 21.5
2
Set Betting
Odds
Andrey Rublev to win 2 - 0
9
Andrey Rublev to win 2 - 1
8
Carlos Alcaraz to win 2 - 0
1.666
Carlos Alcaraz to win 2 - 1
3.5
Double Result
Odds
Andrey Rublev to win 1st set and WIN match
5.5
Andrey Rublev to win 1st set and LOSE match
7
Carlos Alcaraz to win 1st set and WIN match
1.4
Carlos Alcaraz to win 1st set and LOSE match
13
First Set Score
Odds
Andrey Rublev to win 6-0
101
Andrey Rublev to win 6-1
34
Andrey Rublev to win 6-2
34
Andrey Rublev to win 6-3
9.5
Andrey Rublev to win 6-4
15
Andrey Rublev to win 7-5
29
Andrey Rublev to win 7-6
10
Carlos Alcaraz to win 6-0
29
Carlos Alcaraz to win 6-1
15
Carlos Alcaraz to win 6-2
6.5
Carlos Alcaraz to win 6-3
7
Carlos Alcaraz to win 6-4
3.6
Carlos Alcaraz to win 7-5
13
Carlos Alcaraz to win 7-6
6.5
1st Set Total Games
Odds
Over 6.5
1.01
Under 6.5
26
Over 7.5
1.062
Under 7.5
10
Over 8.5
1.25
Under 8.5
3.75
Under 9.5
2.1
Over 9.5
1.666
Over 10.5
3.25
Under 10.5
1.333
Over 12.5
4.333
Under 12.5
1.2