Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
ATP #1
Season Form: 948 pts
Yield:
7.87%
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
ATP #12
Season Form: 242 pts
Yield:
-1.76%
ATP Tokyo
Semifinals
29 Sep 2025
09:00 UTC
hard out

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud.

Season Stats H2H Matches Surface Stats Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
3
6
6
3
6
4
-
-
-
-
Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud has ended. The winner of the match was Carlos Alcaraz. To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Match Statistics

Match Statistics
Carlos Alcaraz
Stats
Casper Ruud
Service
11
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
51/80 (64%)
First serve
65/90 (72%)
27/29 (93%)
2nd serve
23/25 (92%)
16/29 (55%)
2nd serve pts
15/25 (60%)
14
Serv. games played
14
3/4 (75%)
Break pts saved
7/9 (77%)
Points
87
Total Pts
83
56
Srv. pts. won
59
31
Receiver pts. won
24
Games
15
Total games won
13
13
Srv. games won
12
Return
21/65 (32%)
1st serve return pts.
11/51 (21%)
10/25 (40%)
2nd serve return pts.
13/29 (44%)
2
Break pts conv.
1

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Season Statistics

Head to Head Season Data
Carlos Alcaraz
2025 Stats
Casper Ruud
70
Matches
43
7
Titles 2025
1
64
Won
30
6
Lost
13
91.43 %
Win Perc.
69.77 %
409
Aces
247
5.84
Avg. Aces/match
5.74
2.87
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.19
155
Sets Won
71
1107
Games Won
551
80% (12/15)
Best of 3 Won
63.6% (7/11)
100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Won
50% (1/2)
65.2% (15/23)
Tiebreaks Won
77.8% (7/9)
141 hrs, 6 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
82 hrs, 13 mins
2 hrs, 0 mins
ToC/Match
1 hrs, 54 mins
4 hrs, 25 mins
ToC current tour
4 hrs, 16 mins
68.4% (575/841)
Pressure Points Won
63.9% (334/523)
31.6% (266/841)
Pressure Points Lost
36.1% (189/523)
1
ATP Rank
12

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud H2H Matches

Head to Head Matches
Carlos Alcaraz
H2H Matches
Casper Ruud
4
Wins
1
3
Hard Out.
0
1
Clay
0
0
Hard Ind.
1
2
In Finals
0
Matches (5)
11 Nov 2024
Ruud C.
ATP Finals
2 Oct 2023
Alcaraz C.
ATP Beijing
11 Sep 2022
Alcaraz C.
ATP US Open
Taking a closer look at their past encounters, it seems that Carlos Alcaraz has a slightly better record against Casper Ruud. Carlos Alcaraz has a better record than Casper Ruud in their head-to-head matches played on hard courts (3-0). Carlos Alcaraz holds the advantage over Casper Ruud in matches played in tournament finals, with a score of 2-0.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Surface Season Statistics

Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
Carlos Alcaraz
2025 hard out stats
Casper Ruud
30
Matches
19
2
Titles 2025
0
26
Won
12
4
Lost
7
86.67 %
Win Perc.
63.16 %
188
Aces
139
6.27
Avg. Aces/match
7.32
82
Doub. Faults
40
2.73
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.11
124
Break Points (BP)
50
4.13
BP Converted Avg
2.63
60.58 %
BP Saved
66.67 %
77.83 %
First Serve Pts
69.32 %
58.37 %
Second Serve Pts
50.89 %
69.8% (187/268)
Pressure Pts Won
64.9% (159/245)
30.2% (81/268)
Pressure Pts Lost
35.1% (86/245)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud
Checking out the ATP rankings, it's pretty clear that Carlos Alcaraz has a huge upper hand over Casper Ruud.
Chances by Odds
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
85.4%
14.6%
Chances by Form
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
79.7%
20.3%
Final Chances
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
82.5%
17.5%
Match Winner
82.5 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Carlos Alcaraz, by a comfortable margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.
Carlos Alcaraz
Current season yields for Carlos Alcaraz. Total Matches: 68. As favorite: 63. As underdog: 5.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
68
5.35
7.87%
Favorite
630
11.5
1.83%
Underdog
50
42
84%
Casper Ruud
Current season yields for Casper Ruud. Total Matches: 41. As favorite: 36. As underdog: 5.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
41
-0.72
-1.76%
Favorite
360
12.8
3.56%
Underdog
50
-20
-40%
GambleAware.Org 18+
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