ATP #1
Season Form: 936 pts
Season Yield:
8.03%
ATP Tokyo
Round of 32
25 Sep 2025
08:15 UTC
hard out
ATP #41
Season Form: 70 pts
Season Yield:
-27.88%
ATP #1
Season Form: 936 pts
Yield:
8.03%
ATP #41
Season Form: 70 pts
Yield:
-27.88%
ATP Tokyo
Round of 32
25 Sep 2025
08:15 UTC
hard out
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez.
6
4
6
2
-
-
-
-
-
-
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez has ended. The winner of the match was Carlos Alcaraz. To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez Match Statistics
Match Statistics
Stats
Service
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
43/56 (77%)
First serve
40/54 (74%)
11/13 (85%)
2nd serve
12/14 (86%)
5/13 (38%)
2nd serve pts
5/14 (36%)
9
Serv. games played
9
1/2 (50%)
Break pts saved
1/5 (20%)
Points
60
Total Pts
50
36
Srv. pts. won
30
24
Receiver pts. won
20
Games
12
Total games won
6
8
Srv. games won
5
Return
15/40 (37%)
1st serve return pts.
12/43 (27%)
9/14 (64%)
2nd serve return pts.
8/13 (61%)
4
Break pts conv.
1
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez Season Statistics
Head to Head Season Data
2025 Stats
67
Matches
35
7
Titles 2025
1
61
Won
16
6
Lost
19
91.04 %
Win Perc.
45.71 %
402
Aces
58
6
Avg. Aces/match
1.66
2.93
Doub. Faults Avg.
1.8
149
Sets Won
45
1071
Games Won
427
80% (12/15)
Best of 3 Won
43.8% (7/16)
100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Won
0% (0/2)
65.2% (15/23)
Tiebreaks Won
83.3% (5/6)
136 hrs, 40 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
68 hrs, 18 mins
2 hrs, 2 mins
ToC/Match
1 hrs, 57 mins
n/a
ToC current tour
n/a
68.5% (562/820)
Pressure Points Won
56% (308/550)
31.5% (258/820)
Pressure Points Lost
44% (242/550)
1
ATP Rank
41
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez H2H Matches
Head to Head Matches
H2H Matches
2
Wins
0
1
Hard Out.
0
1
Hard Ind.
0
Matches (2)
30 Aug 2022
Alcaraz C.
12 Nov 2021
Alcaraz C.
Taking a closer look at their past encounters, it seems that Carlos Alcaraz has a slightly better record against Sebastián Báez. Carlos Alcaraz has a better record than Sebastián Báez in their head-to-head matches played on hard courts (1-0).
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez Surface Season Statistics
Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
2025 hard out stats
27
Matches
9
2
Titles 2025
0
23
Won
2
4
Lost
7
85.19 %
Win Perc.
22.22 %
181
Aces
12
6.7
Avg. Aces/match
1.33
77
Doub. Faults
19
2.85
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.11
112
Break Points (BP)
28
4.15
BP Converted Avg
3.11
61.46 %
BP Saved
51.95 %
78.22 %
First Serve Pts
76.56 %
59.15 %
Second Serve Pts
68.22 %
70.4% (174/247)
Pressure Pts Won
54% (75/139)
29.6% (73/247)
Pressure Pts Lost
46% (64/139)
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez Prediction
Prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez
Checking out the ATP rankings, it's pretty clear that Carlos Alcaraz has a huge upper hand over Sebastián Báez.
Chances by Odds
Carlos Alcaraz
Sebastián Báez
94.9%
5.1%
Chances by Form
Carlos Alcaraz
Sebastián Báez
93.0%
7.0%
Final Chances
Carlos Alcaraz
Sebastián Báez
94%
6%
Match Winner
94 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Carlos Alcaraz, by a comfortable margin.
Match Winner
94 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Carlos Alcaraz, by a comfortable margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.
Current season yields for Carlos Alcaraz. Total Matches: 65. As favorite: 60. As underdog: 5.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
65
5.22
8.03%
Favorite
600
10.2
1.7%
Underdog
50
42
84%
Current season yields for Sebastián Báez. Total Matches: 34. As favorite: 21. As underdog: 13.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
34
-9.48
-27.88%
Favorite
210
-40.8
-19.43%
Underdog
130
-54
-41.54%