Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev
ATP #18
Season Form: 200 pts
Yield:
-15.75%
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
ATP #7
Season Form: 412 pts
Yield:
-11.45%
ATP Shanghai
Quarterfinals
10 Oct 2025
10:30 UTC
hard out

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur.

Season Stats H2H Matches Surface Stats Prediction
Daniil Medvedev
Alex de Minaur
6
4
6
4
-
-
-
-
-
-
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur has ended. The winner of the match was Daniil Medvedev. To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur Match Statistics

Match Statistics
Daniil Medvedev
Stats
Alex de Minaur
Service
5
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
1
43/69 (62%)
First serve
49/71 (69%)
20/26 (77%)
2nd serve
21/22 (95%)
14/26 (54%)
2nd serve pts
8/22 (36%)
10
Serv. games played
10
6/6 (100%)
Break pts saved
4/6 (66%)
Points
76
Total Pts
64
47
Srv. pts. won
42
29
Receiver pts. won
22
Games
12
Total games won
8
10
Srv. games won
7
Return
15/49 (30%)
1st serve return pts.
10/43 (23%)
14/22 (63%)
2nd serve return pts.
12/26 (46%)
2
Break pts conv.
0

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur Season Statistics

Head to Head Season Data
Daniil Medvedev
2025 Stats
Alex de Minaur
54
Matches
64
0
Titles 2025
1
34
Won
47
20
Lost
17
62.96 %
Win Perc.
73.44 %
427
Aces
250
7.91
Avg. Aces/match
3.91
4.11
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.48
80
Sets Won
112
712
Games Won
862
56.3% (9/16)
Best of 3 Won
54.5% (6/11)
25% (1/4)
Best of 5 Won
0% (0/1)
48% (12/25)
Tiebreaks Won
55.6% (10/18)
102 hrs, 8 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
117 hrs, 26 mins
1 hrs, 53 mins
ToC/Match
1 hrs, 50 mins
5 hrs, 44 mins
ToC current tour
4 hrs, 42 mins
65.4% (392/599)
Pressure Points Won
66.3% (485/731)
34.6% (207/599)
Pressure Points Lost
33.7% (246/731)
18
ATP Rank
7

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur H2H Matches

Head to Head Matches
Daniil Medvedev
H2H Matches
Alex de Minaur
7
Wins
4
5
Hard Out.
1
0
Clay
2
2
Hard Ind.
1
1
In Finals
0
Matches (11)
10 Apr 2025
A. de Minaur
ATP Monte Carlo
12 Nov 2024
Medvedev D.
ATP Finals
3 Jun 2024
de Minaur A.
ATP Roland Garros
Taking a closer look at their past encounters, it seems that Daniil Medvedev has a slightly better record against Alex de Minaur. Daniil Medvedev has a better record than Alex de Minaur in their head-to-head matches played on hard courts (5-1). Daniil Medvedev holds the advantage over Alex de Minaur in matches played in tournament finals, with a score of 1-0.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur Surface Season Statistics

Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
Daniil Medvedev
2025 hard out stats
Alex de Minaur
30
Matches
39
0
Titles 2025
1
19
Won
30
11
Lost
9
63.33 %
Win Perc.
76.92 %
265
Aces
192
8.83
Avg. Aces/match
4.92
123
Doub. Faults
101
4.1
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.59
104
Break Points (BP)
131
3.47
BP Converted Avg
3.36
57.86 %
BP Saved
64.25 %
76.93 %
First Serve Pts
73.67 %
53.03 %
Second Serve Pts
57.1 %
63.1% (198/314)
Pressure Pts Won
67.1% (296/441)
36.9% (116/314)
Pressure Pts Lost
32.9% (145/441)

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur
After taking a look at the ATP rankings, it appears that Alex de Minaur might have a bit of an edge over Daniil Medvedev in today's game.
Chances by Odds
Daniil Medvedev
Alex de Minaur
36.3%
63.7%
Chances by Form
Daniil Medvedev
Alex de Minaur
32.7%
67.3%
Final Chances
Daniil Medvedev
Alex de Minaur
34.5%
65.5%
Match Winner
65.5 %
Alex de Minaur
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Alex de Minaur, by a comfortable margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.
Daniil Medvedev
Current season yields for Daniil Medvedev. Total Matches: 52. As favorite: 48. As underdog: 4.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
52
-8.19
-15.75%
Favorite
480
-62.9
-13.1%
Underdog
40
-19
-47.5%
Alex de Minaur
Current season yields for Alex de Minaur. Total Matches: 62. As favorite: 57. As underdog: 5.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
62
-7.1
-11.45%
Favorite
570
-21
-3.68%
Underdog
50
-50
-100%
GambleAware.Org 18+
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