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WTA/Abu Dhabi WTA/1/8-finals

Bencic v Kartal live stream guide and Abu Dhabi WTA last-16 preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Feb 3, 2026(..)

Belinda Bencic faces Sonay Kartal in the Abu Dhabi WTA last 16 on hard courts on 4 February, with the best-of-three format setting up a brisk, high-stakes test.

As well as the match preview, this guide explains how to follow the action live and what the key numbers suggest about where the pressure points will land. The market leans to Bencic, but Kartal's recent serving output and break-point efficiency hint at a contest that may swing on a few sharp moments.

FINISHED

(CANCELED)

Bencic B.

Kartal S.

Hard-court record tilts narrowly to Bencic

On hard courts this season, Bencic arrives with a 6-1 record, while Kartal sits at 5-2. The margins underneath are tight, yet Bencic's return numbers edge ahead at 47% to 44%, and her break-point saving rate of 54% to 43% points to steadier resistance under stress.

Matches have tended to run to a similar length too, with average totals of 21.7 games for Bencic and 22.4 for Kartal.

Recent results are solid, but Bencic finishes stronger

Bencic has gone 7-3 across her last 10 matches and Kartal is 6-4, so neither player comes in cold. The difference is how they have held up late: Bencic has won 67% of deciding sets, while Kartal is at 33%, even though both have taken 60% of first sets.

Kartal has produced more aces at 3.3 per match, but Bencic's overall balance shows in a higher hold rate of 78% and a stronger return clip of 48%.

Watch Belinda Bencic v. Sonay Kartal Live Online

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Bookmakers make Bencic the favourite

Bookmakers price Bencic at 1.44 against Kartal at 2.75; first-set prices are 1.5 versus 2.63. That framing suggests the expectation is for Bencic to start on top, even if the gap is not overwhelming.

Bencic B.

Kartal S.

Win Percentage
90 %60 %
Titles
1 0
Aces per match
2 3.3
Double Faults per match
1.9 0.7
First Serve Points Won
72 %67 %
Second Serve Points Won
50 %54 %
Return Points Won
50 %45 %
Break Points Converted
49 %52 %
Break Points Saved
61 %46 %

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A return-led edge against Kartal's serve threat

The clearest clash is Kartal's ability to score quick points on serve against Bencic's knack for applying return pressure, a theme that shows up in the season return gap and the last-10 numbers. Workload is also a small factor: Bencic has logged 9 hours 51 minutes across her last five matches compared with Kartal's 8 hours 37 minutes, though neither comes in off back-to-back outings. If the match tightens into a third set, the recent deciding-set split gives Bencic a quiet advantage, but Kartal's 57% break-point conversion on hard courts keeps the danger live.

Prediction

Abu Dhabi WTAPICK

Belinda Bencic

66%
Predicted Winner

Sonay Kartal

Overall indicators tilt towards Belinda Bencic, led by the market prices and her slightly stronger hard-court profile on return and break-point defence. The last-10 form is close, yet Bencic's better deciding-set record offers a steadier finishing trend if it becomes a long night. Sonay Kartal's serving output keeps the matchup competitive, but Bencic has more routes to control the key games.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

17.5

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