Shapovalov v Jodar live stream: Dallas indoor hard opener in the 1/16-finals

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Feb 9, 2026(..)

Denis Shapovalov meets Rafael Jodar in the Dallas ATP (indoor) 1/16-finals on hard courts on 10 Feb, with a best-of-three format that can reward a fast start and calm serving.

Alongside the match-up breakdown, this preview explains where to watch or follow the contest live. The numbers point to Jodar's momentum, even if the market refuses to split them.

FINISHED

Shapovalov D.

Jodar R.

6-1

, 6-2

Jodar's hard-court volume stands out

On hard courts this season, Rafael Jodar arrives with a 12-2 record, while Denis Shapovalov is 1-2. That gap shows up in the underlying profile too: Jodar is winning 84% of service games and 32% on return, a combination that can keep pressure on both scorelines and momentum.

Recent form tilts sharply to Jodar

Across their last 10 matches overall, Jodar is 8-2 and has won 80% of first sets, while Shapovalov is 4-6 with a 50% first-set rate. Jodar also comes in off a title run in Dallas qualifying, but his recent workload is not light at about 10h 57m across the last five matches, compared with Shapovalov's 9h 27m.

Where to watch Denis Shapovalov v. Rafael Jodar Live

For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.

Bookmakers sit firmly on the fence

Bookmakers price Denis Shapovalov at 1.91 against Rafael Jodar at 1.91, and the first-set prices are also 1.91 versus 1.91. It is a rare show of balance, suggesting the expected margins are thin even with contrasting recent records.

Shapovalov D.

Jodar R.

Win Percentage

50 %80 %

Aces per match

8.1 4.6

Double Faults per match

5.1 1.1

First Serve Points Won

72 %73 %

Second Serve Points Won

49 %52 %

Return Points Won

39 %40 %

Break Points Converted

40 %42 %

Break Points Saved

57 %58 %

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Serve control could decide the swing moments

Shapovalov's recent profile hints at more free points but also more risk: he has been around eight aces per match, yet close to five double faults. Jodar's cleaner baseline of errors, plus stronger return numbers, gives him more ways to turn a tight set, especially indoors where short runs of games can flip the match quickly.

Prediction

Dallas ATP (indoor)PICK

Rafael Jodar

54%

Predicted Winner

Denis Shapovalov

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Rafael Jodar, driven by a stronger hard-court season record and a clear edge in last-10 results. The dead-even odds keep the call cautious, but Jodar's steadier serving profile and higher return impact give him a small statistical lean.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS