The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Elina Svitolina faces Solana Sierra in the US Open WTA 1/64-finals on 30 August, with the hard-court match played over the best of three sets.
The wider numbers strongly favour Svitolina. Her hard-court record is far better, her return game has been more effective and the market makes her a clear favourite.Svitolina has won 26 of 33 hard-court matches this season, compared with Sierra's 7-14 record. She has also held serve in 72% of games and won 41% of return games, while Sierra sits at 59% and 30% respectively. That difference gives Svitolina more ways to control the match.
Svitolina has gone 6-4 across her last 10 matches, while Sierra is 4-6. Both have held serve in 63% of games over that spell, but Svitolina has won 46% of return games against Sierra's 32%, a clear edge when rallies move beyond the serve.
Bookmakers price Svitolina at 1.07 against Sierra at 9.00, with first-set prices of 1.14 and 5.50. Those numbers leave little doubt about where the market sees the advantage.
Sierra needs to protect her serve because the return numbers point strongly towards Svitolina. The recent workload does not create a major concern for either player, although Sierra has spent 9 hours 7 minutes on court across her last five matches compared with Svitolina's 7 hours 32 minutes. The larger difference remains their hard-court performance.
Svitolina E.
Sierra S.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Prediction
Elina Svitolina
Solana Sierra
The overall indicators lean strongly towards Elina Svitolina. Her superior hard-court record and return numbers are backed by better recent results, while the market also gives her a very large advantage.
Odds
