Gabriela Knutson faces Elsa Jacquemot in the Limoges Challenger last 16 on indoor hard courts on 11 December 2025, a best-of-three contest that could shape their year-end momentum.
A clear ranking gap and stronger hard-court numbers for Jacquemot contrast with Knutson’s punchy recent results, setting up a compelling clash of styles. Alongside the form guide and key tactical themes, this preview flags what the market expects and how fans can follow the action live.FINISHED
Knutson G.
Jacquemot E.
3-6
, 2-6
On hard courts this season, Jacquemot has put together a 15–9 record, outpacing Knutson’s 8–5 return and underlining why she arrives as the higher-ranked player. Jacquemot has been slightly more secure on serve, holding around 69% of her service games and saving about 62% of break points, while also edging the return numbers and conversion rate.
Knutson is not far behind, holding roughly 64% of service games and winning 42% of return games, but her matches at this level have tended to be longer, averaging about 21 games compared with Jacquemot’s shorter, more efficient contests at around 15 games.The last ten matches show both players in decent touch, with Knutson going 7–3 and Jacquemot 6–4, a small edge to the Czech but not a decisive one. Jacquemot’s serve has been marginally more dominant in this spell, holding about 69% of service games and delivering around five aces per match, yet she has also carried close to seven double faults on average, which keeps opponents interested.
Knutson has been more dangerous on return, winning roughly 42% of return games in this run and excelling in deciding sets with an impressive 83% success rate, even though she has taken the opening set far less often than her opponent.
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Bookmakers price Knutson at 2.63 against Jacquemot at 1.44, signalling a clear lean towards the Frenchwoman as favourite in Limoges. The first-set market follows the same pattern, with Knutson at 2.5 and Jacquemot at 1.5, suggesting the market expects the higher-ranked player to impose herself early.
Knutson G.
Jacquemot E.
This match shapes as a test of whether Knutson’s return intensity can disrupt a higher-ranked opponent whose hard-court numbers and market backing are stronger. Jacquemot’s combination of a solid hold rate and efficient break-point conversion points towards a player comfortable controlling rallies on this surface, yet the workload figures show she has spent slightly longer on court over her last five matches and has faced back-to-back scheduling, which may leave a touch more mileage in her legs.
Knutson’s superior record in deciding sets and stronger recent return stats give her a route into the contest if she can extend exchanges and force longer spells on serve from Jacquemot, especially on an indoor court where first-strike tennis will matter but sustained pressure can still pay off.Prediction
Elsa Jacquemot
Gabriela Knutson
Overall indicators tilt towards Elsa Jacquemot, with her higher ranking, stronger hard-court season figures and clear support in the odds all pointing to a modest but real advantage. Gabriela Knutson’s sharper recent return numbers and excellent deciding-set record suggest she has the tools to trouble the favourite, particularly if she can turn this into a physical, drawn-out battle. Even allowing for Jacquemot’s slightly heavier recent workload and back-to-back schedule, the balance of form, surface record and market view still leans around 65% in her favour.
Odds
