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ATP/Brisbane ATP/1/16-finals

Lehecka v Machac: live stream guide and Brisbane ATP first-round preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 4, 2026(..)

Jiri Lehecka and Tomas Machac open their Brisbane ATP campaigns in the 1/16-finals on hard courts on 04 Jan 2026, with the match set as a best-of-three.

Bookmakers have Lehecka as the shorter price, but this tournament also marks the start of the 2026 season, so early-week signals can be noisy. There is a tight head-to-head reference point too, and below you will find both the match breakdown and how to watch or follow live.

FINISHED

Lehecka J.

2
1

Machac T.

6-4

, 6-7

, 6-2

A single, fine-margin meeting so far

Lehecka leads Machac 1-0 from their lone meeting, a 2-1 win in the quarter-finals of the O pohar prezidenta CTS Exhibition Men on 26 May 2020. That match went to a deciding set and included a tie-break, with 36 games played and the games split 18-18 overall, so the history points to tight swings rather than a one-way matchup.

Lehecka J.

Machac T.

Wins
1 0

Season slate is clean in Brisbane

With the 2026 season only just starting at this tournament, both players arrive with 0-0 records on hard courts for the year. That makes recent patterns and matchup details more important than any early-season totals, especially in a best-of-three where a fast start can decide the tone.

Where to watch Jiri Lehecka v. Tomas Machac Live

For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.

Lehecka's hold rate sets the baseline

Across their last 10 matches, Lehecka is 5-5 and has held serve 86% of the time, backing that up with 8 aces per match. Machac is 4-6 in the same span, yet his return work has been sharper at 20% of return games won and he has converted break points at 50%, which can keep pressure on even strong servers. Workload is a small footnote: Lehecka has logged 7h 51m on court across his last five matches compared to Machac's 5h 19m.

Lehecka J.

Machac T.

Win Percentage
50 %40 %
Aces per match
8 6
Double Faults per match
1.4 2.1
First Serve Points Won
78 %71 %
Second Serve Points Won
54 %54 %
Return Points Won
31 %33 %
Break Points Converted
30 %50 %
Break Points Saved
53 %71 %

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Prices point to Lehecka

Bookmakers price Lehecka at 1.5 against Machac at 2.63, with first-set prices 1.57 versus 2.38. It is a clear lean rather than a landslide, which fits a matchup where a few return games could swing a set.

Serve reliability meets returning intent

Lehecka comes in as the higher-ranked player and the market choice, and his recent holding numbers suggest he can keep sets on his racket when he lands first deliveries.

Machac's edge is different: the recent return rate and break-point efficiency hint at more chances in the pressure moments, even if his overall last-10 results are slightly behind. With the season just beginning in Brisbane, the first few games may matter more than usual, and a quick read on conditions could decide who settles first.

Prediction

Brisbane ATPPICK

Jiri Lehecka

62%
Predicted Winner

Tomas Machac

The indicators tilt slightly towards Jiri Lehecka, with bookmakers making him favourite and his recent 86% service-games-won rate offering a steady platform on hard courts. Tomas Machac has shown he can create looks on return and convert them, so this is not a one-sided call, but the balance of ranking, market view and serve reliability nudges the outlook Lehecka's way in an early-season opener.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

20

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