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ATP/Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP - Play Offs (indoor)/Final

Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockx live stream and prediction: Next Gen Finals showpiece in Jeddah

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Dec 20, 2025(..)

Learner Tien and Alexander Blockx contest the Next Gen Finals title in Jeddah on 21 Dec on an indoor hard court, with a best-of-five-sets format and plenty at stake.

This preview also covers where to watch and how to follow the final live, alongside the key form lines behind the match-up. Tien arrives as the higher-ranked player, and the pricing reflects that. Blockx, though, has been the slightly hotter hand in the most recent sample and has leaned on a heavier first-strike profile to get here.

FINISHED

Tien L.

3
0

Blockx A.

4-3

, 4-2

, 4-1

Hard-court numbers split serve and return

On hard courts this season, Tien is 35-16 and has converted 44% of break points, a profile that leans on taking chances when they appear. Blockx is 38-19 and has protected serve more consistently, winning 85% of service games.

The trade-off is on return: Tien has won 28% of return games on the surface, compared with 25% for Blockx, so the pressure points may come from who creates the first look at a break.

Blockx arrives 9-1, Tien steadies after a slip

Blockx has gone 9-1 across the last 10 matches, while Tien is 8-2, and both have carried that into this week in Jeddah. Tien moved through the semi-finals 3-0 against Nishesh Basavareddy, having earlier taken a five-set loss to Rafael Jodar before responding with three straight wins.

Blockx also won his semi-final 3-0 against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and has shown a bigger serving run recently, winning 92% of service games across the last 10 matches.

Learner Tien v. Alexander Blockx Live Streaming

Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.

Bookmakers shade towards Tien

Bookmakers price Learner Tien at 1.53 against Alexander Blockx at 2.5; first-set prices are 1.67 versus 2.2. It is a clear lean rather than a landslide, which fits a final where both players have been efficient on serve.

Tien L.

Blockx A.

Win Percentage
80 %90 %
Titles
1 1
Aces per match
5.1 9.1
Double Faults per match
1.9 1
First Serve Points Won
76 %78 %
Second Serve Points Won
58 %54 %
Return Points Won
40 %39 %
Break Points Converted
42 %40 %
Break Points Saved
58 %80 %

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First-strike power meets steadier pressure

Blockx's recent serving numbers stand out, with 9.1 aces per match over his last 10 and a higher hold rate, so Tien may have to earn breaks rather than wait for them. Yet Tien has been the stronger returner in the same span, winning 31% of return games compared with 26% for Blockx, and that can matter in tight sets.

Both come in on back-to-back match days and with similar workload over the last five matches at around eight and a half hours, so the cleaner execution in key moments could be decisive.

Prediction

Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP - Play Offs (indoor)PICK

Learner Tien

58%
Predicted Winner

Alexander Blockx

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Learner Tien, with the market making him favourite and his return profile offering more consistent pressure in a match where serves have dominated. Alexander Blockx's recent 9-1 run and heavier ace output keep it close, but Tien's stronger return-game win rate and sharper break-point conversion on hard courts nudge the balance his way.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

24.5

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