Tien v Budkov Kjaer live stream guide for Next Gen Finals match in Jeddah

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Dec 19, 2025(..)

Learner Tien meets Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at the Next Gen Finals in Jeddah on 18 December, in an indoor best-of-five hard-court contest. This preview breaks down the key numbers and explains how to follow the match live.

Tien arrives as the higher-ranked player at world number 28, while Budkov Kjaer is number 136 and trying to keep his momentum rolling after two wins in Jeddah. The odds lean firmly one way, but both players have shown they can swing sets quickly in this format.

FINISHED

Tien L.

Budkov Kjaer N.

3-4

, 4-1

, 4-2

Hard-court season trends split the edges

On hard courts this season, Tien is 33-16 and has landed an ATP title, while Budkov Kjaer is 25-10 with three Challenger trophies. Budkov Kjaer’s break-point conversion sits at 51% to Tien’s 44%, a neat sign of efficiency when chances arrive. Tien, though, has won 27% of return games on the surface compared with 25% for Budkov Kjaer, and that can decide tight patches indoors.

Recent results favour Tien, but starts matter

Tien’s last-10 record reads 7-3, underpinned by an 85% hold rate and a 50% first-set win clip. Budkov Kjaer is 5-5 over the same span and has won just 20% of first sets, even if his deciding-set return is strong at 80%.

The recent match trail adds texture too: Tien’s run to the Metz title included wins over Matteo Berrettini and Cameron Norrie, while Budkov Kjaer steadied himself in Jeddah after a run of defeats earlier in the autumn.

How to watch Learner Tien v. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Online

By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.

Bookmakers make Tien the clear favourite

Bookmakers price Tien at 1.34 against Budkov Kjaer at 3.25, with first-set prices set at 1.5 and 2.6. It is a strong lean, and it matches the ranking gap and the recent win-loss shape.

Tien L.

Budkov Kjaer N.

Win Percentage

70 %50 %

Titles

1 1

Aces per match

4.8 6.2

Double Faults per match

2.3 2.5

First Serve Points Won

78 %77 %

Second Serve Points Won

57 %46 %

Return Points Won

38 %37 %

Break Points Converted

36 %49 %

Break Points Saved

58 %59 %

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Serve pop, return pressure and workload

Budkov Kjaer has delivered more free points lately, averaging 6.2 aces per match to Tien’s 4.8, and his break-point finishing suggests he can punish short dips. Tien’s edge is steadier pressure: the return numbers are slightly better, and his recent results have been stronger even with a heavier court load. Both have played back-to-back, but Tien’s last five matches total 8 hours 32 minutes compared with 5 hours 53 minutes for Budkov Kjaer, so managing energy between bursts could be a quiet factor.

Prediction

Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP (indoor)PICK

Learner Tien

71%

Predicted Winner

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Overall indicators tilt towards Learner Tien: the market makes him a clear favourite and his last-10 record is stronger, with more reliable first-set starts. The season hard-court profile is close in places, but Tien’s slightly better return pressure offers a repeatable route to breaks. Budkov Kjaer’s ace output and break-point efficiency keep the upset case alive, especially if Tien’s heavier recent workload shows.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS