Learner Tien v Rafael Jodar: where to watch as Next Gen Finals clash lands in Jeddah

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Dec 16, 2025(..)

Learner Tien meets Rafael Jodar at the Next Gen Finals in Jeddah on 17 December, an indoor hard-court contest scheduled as a best-of-five.

This preview also explains where to watch or follow the match live, before digging into what their recent results and numbers suggest.

FINISHED

Tien L.

Jodar R.

4-1

, 3-4

, 4-1

, 2-4

, 3-4

Jodar's hard-court efficiency stands out

Across the hard-court season numbers, Rafael Jodar has a 36-11 record and slightly stronger hold-and-pressure figures, winning 83% of service games and 33% of return games. Learner Tien is 32-15 on the surface with a 78% service-games rate and 27% on return, and he has also logged an ATP title this year, which hints at comfort on bigger stages.

Recent momentum tilts to Jodar

The last-10 snapshot favours Rafael Jodar at 9-1, while Learner Tien sits at 7-3, and the first-set split points the same way at 80% versus 60%. Both arrive off final runs in early November, with Jodar winning in Charlottesville and Tien finishing runner-up in Metz; Jodar also moved through one match when Johannus Monday retired.

Watch Learner Tien v. Rafael Jodar Live Online

By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.

Bookmakers make Tien clear favourite

Bookmakers price Learner Tien at 1.29 against Rafael Jodar at 3.75; the first-set prices are 1.44 versus 2.75. The different scoring format, though, is a reminder that early swings can matter more than usual.

Tien L.

Jodar R.

Win Percentage

70 %90 %

Titles

1 2

Aces per match

4.7 5.5

Double Faults per match

2.6 0.5

First Serve Points Won

75 %77 %

Second Serve Points Won

57 %57 %

Return Points Won

38 %43 %

Break Points Converted

38 %46 %

Break Points Saved

70 %69 %

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Rank gap meets a live return threat

On paper, the gap between world No. 28 and No. 168 helps explain the market lean, and Tien's season-level results back up the idea of a steadier baseline. But Jodar's recent profile is sharp, with a 31% return-games rate over the last 10 and clean scoreboard control, including a 100% deciding-set return when matches go the distance.

With both players coming in fresh to the year-end event, the contest may hinge on who settles quickest into the format and who protects second-serve moments under pressure.

Prediction

Next Gen Finals - Jeddah ATP (indoor)PICK

Learner Tien

63%

Predicted Winner

Rafael Jodar

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Learner Tien: the bookmakers have him strongly favoured and the ranking gap suggests a higher baseline level across the season. Still, Rafael Jodar's 9-1 run and the stronger recent return numbers keep the upset lane open, especially in a different scoring format where momentum can turn fast.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS