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WTA/Cincinnati WTA/1/8-finals

Noskova vs Anisimova: hard-court preview and prediction

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Aug 18, 2026(..)

Linda Noskova and Amanda Anisimova meet in the Cincinnati WTA round of 16 on hard court on 18 August. The best-of-three contest carries a quarter-final place, but the deeper story is split: Anisimova leads their series 2-1 and has stronger return numbers on hard, while Noskova arrives with nine wins from her past ten matches.

Anisimova's 2-1 edge and final-day memory

The pair have met three times. Anisimova leads 2-1, including a 2-1 victory in the Beijing final on hard in October 2025. Two of their matches reached deciding sets, and Anisimova won both; Noskova won the only tie-break they have played.

Noskova L.

Anisimova A.

Wins
1 2
First Serve Points Won
67 %70 %
Second Serve Points Won
39 %47 %
Return Points Won
39 %44 %
Break Points Converted
47 %50 %
Break Points Saved
50 %53 %

Anisimova's return edge on hard

This season on hard courts Anisimova is 14-7, while Noskova is 11-7. The key split is return games won: 43% for Anisimova against 31% for Noskova, though Noskova holds serve more often at 79% compared with 69%.

Noskova's 9-1 rhythm meets Anisimova's slow starts

Noskova has won nine of her past ten matches, taking the first set in 80% of those contests and winning every deciding set she has played. Anisimova is 7-3 in the same span, but her first-set rate is only 50% and her deciding-set success stands at 60%.

Market leans narrowly to Anisimova

Bookmakers price Anisimova at 1.8 against Noskova at 2.0, with the same split for the first set. That is a modest market edge rather than a commanding favourite tag.

Noskova L.

Anisimova A.

Win Percentage
90 %60 %
Titles
1 0
Aces per match
7.2 4.6
Double Faults per match
5.3 6.1
First Serve Points Won
74 %66 %
Second Serve Points Won
50 %48 %
Return Points Won
43 %44 %
Break Points Converted
41 %52 %
Break Points Saved
63 %58 %

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Return pressure against first-strike serving

The on-court pattern is clear. Anisimova's return strength should test Noskova's serve, which has been reliable but will face more pressure than the raw hold percentage suggests. Noskova's first-set dominance and Anisimova's back-to-back scheduling are slight counterweights, making a deciding set a real possibility.

Prediction

Cincinnati WTAPICK

Amanda Anisimova

55%
Predicted Winner

Linda Noskova

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Anisimova. The head-to-head edge and superior hard-court return numbers are the clearest factors, though Noskova's 9-1 recent run and stronger serving keep this tight. The market's 1.8 price reflects a modest, not commanding, advantage.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

19.5

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