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Fucsovics v Khachanov: where to watch and Doha ATP last-16 preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Feb 17, 2026(..)

On 18 February, Marton Fucsovics meets Karen Khachanov in the Doha ATP last-16 on hard courts, with the contest set as a best-of-three.

This preview also explains how to watch or follow the match live, and why the numbers frame Khachanov as the favourite despite some pressure points that suit Fucsovics.

FINISHED

Fucsovics M.

1
2

Khachanov K.

2-6

, 6-4

, 4-6

Khachanov has the only previous edge

Their head-to-head stands at 1-0 to Karen Khachanov, from Vienna in October 2019 on hard courts, a contest that finished via retirement with the score at 1-1 in sets. Even as a one-match sample, it hinted at a serving tilt: Khachanov held 75% of his service games in that meeting, while Marton Fucsovics sat at 58%.

Fucsovics M.

Khachanov K.

Wins
0 1
First Serve Points Won
68 %70 %
Second Serve Points Won
40 %44 %
Return Points Won
39 %46 %
Break Points Converted
50 %23 %
Break Points Saved
77 %50 %

Hold rate points to Khachanov on hard courts

Across hard-court results this season, Khachanov is 4-3 while Fucsovics is 3-4. The standout split is on serve: Khachanov is winning 90% of service games, a big gap on a court type where short holds can decide sets.

Marton Fucsovics v. Karen Khachanov Live Streaming

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Fucsovics’ return numbers keep it interesting

Fucsovics has been more productive on return, taking 24% of return games this season on hard courts compared with Khachanov’s 19%. That matters because it offers a clearer route to breaks, even if Khachanov’s 74% break-point save rate suggests he can absorb pressure when it arrives.

Fucsovics M.

Khachanov K.

Win Percentage
40 %60 %
Aces per match
2.6 10.2
Double Faults per match
2.7 1.7
First Serve Points Won
67 %76 %
Second Serve Points Won
52 %53 %
Return Points Won
38 %36 %
Break Points Converted
41 %37 %
Break Points Saved
64 %67 %

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Fresh Doha wins, but both carry mileage

Fucsovics is 4-6 across his past 10 matches and comes in off a straight-sets win over Hady Habib in Doha on 16 February. Khachanov is 5-5 in the same span and needed three sets to beat Shintaro Mochizuki in Doha on 17 February, yet he has still won 80% of deciding sets in that run. Both are on back-to-back schedules, with Fucsovics logging 5 hours 17 minutes across his last three matches and Khachanov at 4 hours 31 minutes.

Market makes Khachanov the clear favourite

Bookmakers price Khachanov at 1.44 against Fucsovics at 2.75; first-set prices are 1.5 versus 2.63. The gap reflects expectation of Khachanov controlling more service games, even if the recent return split hints at some volatility early in sets.

Free points against sustained pressure

The matchup reads as Khachanov’s serve-first profile against a Fucsovics return game that has been the steadier of the two in recent numbers. Khachanov is averaging 11.1 aces per match over the last 10 and winning 88% of service games, so Fucsovics may need to make early inroads when openings appear. If Fucsovics can turn his 27% recent return-games won into quick momentum, the contest can tighten fast, especially with both men arriving after busy spells.

Prediction

Doha ATPPICK

Karen Khachanov

68%
Predicted Winner

Marton Fucsovics

Overall indicators tilt towards Karen Khachanov, led by the market price and his hard-court serving efficiency this season, where he is winning 90% of service games. Marton Fucsovics’ stronger return numbers and a recent straight-sets win in Doha keep the upset route open, but Khachanov still profiles as the more likely winner.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

21.5

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