Maya Joint v Ajla Tomljanovic live stream and Adelaide WTA last-16 preview

Maya Joint meets Ajla Tomljanovic in the Adelaide WTA last 16 on hard courts on 13 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three match that lands at a busy moment in the calendar.

With the season only just under way and the Australian Open close, small samples can swing the story fast. This preview sets out the key form and head-to-head angles, plus how to watch or follow the match live as it unfolds.

Tomljanovic has the head-to-head edge

Ajla Tomljanovic leads 2-1 from their three previous meetings, and she has also won more games overall (32 to 22). Their most recent clash came at the French Open on 26 May 2025, where Tomljanovic won 2-0 on clay, a reminder that she has generally found cleaner stretches in this match-up.

Early hard-court numbers favour Tomljanovic

On hard courts this season, Maya Joint is 1-3 and the underlying figures are thin, with 44% of service games held and 13% of return games won. Tomljanovic is 2-1 on the surface, pairing a 65% hold rate with 45% on return, and the gap matters because it points to more consistent scoreboard pressure even this early in the year.

Where to watch Maya Joint v. Ajla Tomljanovic Live

Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.

Recent form is level, but starts differ

Both players arrive with identical 6-4 records across their last 10 matches, so there is no simple momentum swing to lean on. The split is in how they begin: Tomljanovic has won 70% of first sets in that run while Joint sits at 40%, even though Joint has held serve more often overall in the same sample (69% to 63%).

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Bookmakers shade Joint as the favourite

Bookmakers price Maya Joint at 1.73 against Ajla Tomljanovic at 2.1, with first-set prices at 1.8 and 2 respectively. It is a narrow lean rather than a firm stance, which fits an early-season match where a few points can turn the narrative.

Return pressure could decide the swing points

Tomljanovic’s early hard-court profile is built on taking more return games, and that aligns with the broader head-to-head tilt even if the last meeting came on a different surface.

Joint’s case rests on holding up better on serve in recent outings and converting chances when they appear, but there is a note of caution around rhythm at this stage of January, with the Australian Open looming and Joint also coming off back-to-back scheduling. Tomljanovic has logged more time on court across her last five matches (9 hours 1 minute), while Joint is just under six hours (5 hours 59 minutes), so freshness is not a simple read either.

Prediction

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