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Michael Mmoh faces Karen Khachanov in the Hong Kong ATP last 16 on hard courts on 8 January, with the pair set for a best-of-three contest. This preview also explains where to watch and follow the match live.
It is an early-season matchup with a slightly unusual shape. Mmoh has already played his way into rhythm in Hong Kong, while Khachanov arrives with the higher ranking and clear market support but limited 2026 match evidence so far.FINISHED

Mmoh M.

Khachanov K.
7-6
, 7-6
Their head-to-head stands at 1-0 to Mmoh, and that lone meeting also came on hard courts. At the US Open in August 2023 he won in straight sets, and the numbers from that match point to sustained pressure on return rather than a one-off swing.

Mmoh M.
Khachanov K.

With the 2026 season only just beginning, the wider hard-court picture is limited, especially for Khachanov. Mmoh is 3-0 on the surface so far and has held serve at 92% in that stretch, while saving 80% of break points faced. It is early data, but it hints at a serving base that can keep him close even if chances are scarce.
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Across the last 10 matches overall, Mmoh is 6-4 while Khachanov is 3-7, a gap that matters when margins are tight. Mmoh has won 60% of first sets and 67% of deciding sets in that run, suggesting he has found ways to finish.
He is also coming off a busy week in Hong Kong, including a three-set qualifying final and a straight-sets win over Alejandro Tabilo, while Khachanov's latest match in the list dates back to late October.
Mmoh M.
Khachanov K.

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Bookmakers price Khachanov at 1.21 against Mmoh at 3.78; first-set prices sit at 1.38 versus 3.08. The market view leans heavily to the higher-ranked player, even with Mmoh holding the most recent head-to-head win.
This looks like a contest between established level and immediate match rhythm. Khachanov carries the ranking advantage, and his recent hold rate sits at 85%, so he may not offer many cheap openings if his timing is there.
Mmoh, though, arrives with recent wins and a proven blueprint from their previous meeting, even if that was some time ago. The workload is also part of the picture: Mmoh has logged about 6 hours 20 minutes across his last three matches, compared with roughly 4 hours 4 minutes for Khachanov, and that could start to show if the tie stretches deep.Prediction
Karen Khachanov
Michael Mmoh
Overall indicators tilt towards Karen Khachanov, with the odds and the ranking gap pointing to him controlling enough service games to come through. Michael Mmoh's recent form and the straight-sets win in their only previous meeting add a note of caution, especially in the season's opening days, but the market expects Khachanov's level to hold over three sets.
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