The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Mirra Andreeva meets Diana Shnaider in the Adelaide WTA semi-finals on hard courts on 16 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three place in the final on the line.
It is still the second week of the new season, so the numbers come with caveats. This preview breaks down the form, the head-to-head and the market lean, plus how to watch or follow the match live with the Australian Open looming.FINISHED
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
6-3
, 6-2
They have met once before and Andreeva won that match, beating Shnaider in Brisbane on hard courts on 31 Dec 2023. The contest was one-way on the scoreboard, with Andreeva taking 12 games to 5, and the underlying pattern backed it up as she held serve throughout and created regular pressure on return. Shnaider struggled to generate chances, finishing with just one break-point opportunity in that meeting.
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
Both players come into this semi-final with identical 4-2 records on hard courts this season, a reminder of how little separates them so early in the calendar. Andreeva has converted 51% of break points and saved 62%, while Shnaider sits at 48% converted and 64% saved, pointing to tight games and small swings. Shnaider's matches have tended to run longer, with an average 20.2 games per match compared with Andreeva's 18.5.
For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.
Recent results lean marginally to Shnaider, who has gone 6-4 across her last 10 matches and won 46% of return games, a figure that can flip sets quickly. Andreeva is 5-5 in the same span and has won 28% of return games, so she may need her first strike to land cleanly. Workload is a subplot too: Shnaider has logged 4 hours 51 minutes across her last three matches (7 hours 51 minutes across five), while Andreeva is at 2 hours 18 minutes over three (6 hours 30 minutes over five), with both coming off back-to-back days.
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Bookmakers price Andreeva at 1.5 against Shnaider at 2.63; first-set prices are 1.57 versus 2.38. That frames Andreeva as the favourite, even with the recent-form edge sitting slightly with Shnaider.
The clearest pointer is the previous meeting, where Andreeva's serving security and return pressure set the tone, and the rankings gap underlines why the market leans her way. But Shnaider's last-10 profile suggests she is seeing the ball well on return and starting sets strongly, so a slow start would be costly for Andreeva. With the season only just underway and the Australian Open close, managing energy matters, and Shnaider has spent more time on court in Adelaide heading into this semi-final.
Prediction
Mirra Andreeva
Diana Shnaider
Overall indicators tilt towards Mirra Andreeva, with the market pricing her at 1.5 and the head-to-head showing she controlled their last hard-court meeting in straight sets. The picture is not one-sided, though, because Diana Shnaider has been the sharper recent performer and her return numbers over the last 10 matches are strong. With both players in the second week of the season and the Australian Open near, the lean is to Andreeva, but the margins look fine.
Odds
