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Mirra Andreeva meets Marie Bouzkova in the Adelaide WTA last 16 on hard courts on 13 Jan 2026, and this preview also explains where to watch and follow live. It is only the second week of the new season.
Andreeva arrives as the higher-ranked player, and the recent head-to-head leans her way, but the broader form lines are not yet settled. With both players split 5–5 across their last 10 matches, the early story is about who sharpens first in 2026.FINISHED
Andreeva M.
Bouzkova M.
6-3
, 6-1
Andreeva leads Bouzkova 2–0 overall, with no prior meetings logged on this surface split beyond those matches. Their latest meeting came at the Australian Open on 12 Jan 2025, when Andreeva won in straight sets, and the pair have averaged 18.5 games per match.
In those encounters, Andreeva has held 79% of her service games while creating around 10 break-point chances a match, a pattern that can keep Bouzkova under steady pressure.Andreeva M.
Bouzkova M.
Bouzkova has the slightly better hard-court record so far in 2026 at 3–2, while Andreeva stands at 2–2, but it is a small sample in the season’s opening fortnight. Bouzkova’s matches have tended to run longer on average at 19.5 games, and her 71% service-games-won rate has helped her stay competitive even when margins are tight. Andreeva’s hard-court efficiency markers are more limited here, though her 64% break-points-saved figure hints at resilience in the biggest moments.
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Both players are 5–5 across their last 10 matches, so there is no clear momentum edge on results alone. Bouzkova has started faster, winning 70% of first sets, while Andreeva sits at 50% and has also carried a heavier double-fault count at 6.2 per match, which can swing tight early games. Andreeva’s serving base has still been solid at 68% of service games won, and her deciding-set record (40%) is stronger than Bouzkova’s 25% if the match stretches.
Andreeva M.
Bouzkova M.
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Bookmakers price Andreeva at 1.33 against Bouzkova at 3.4, with first-set prices of 1.44 versus 2.75. The market view is clear, but with the season still young, it does not remove the need for clean execution.
The head-to-head numbers suggest Andreeva is more likely to turn pressure into breaks, and that matters against a player who has needed to do a lot of defending in their past meetings. Recent form points to a different risk: Bouzkova has been the sharper starter, while Andreeva has had patches where the serve wobbles through double faults. Workload is similar over five matches, but Bouzkova has played back-to-back, and those small physical edges can show up late in sets when returns land deeper and rallies lengthen.
Prediction
Mirra Andreeva
Marie Bouzkova
Overall indicators tilt towards Mirra Andreeva: the market makes her a clear favourite, and she is 2–0 in the head-to-head with a track record of generating more break pressure in those meetings. Recent results are level, though, and with the season only just underway, Marie Bouzkova’s stronger first-set trend keeps this from being a simple read.
Odds
