Stearns v Danilovic: where to watch and what to expect in Hobart last 16

Peyton Stearns meets Olga Danilovic in the Hobart WTA last 16 on hard courts on 13 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three place in the quarter-finals at stake.

The rankings are separated by one place and a single point, so the market view is a useful guide, even if the 2026 sample is still tiny. With the season only in its second week and the Australian Open close, the fine detail matters; below is the form read and where to watch or follow the match live.

Small 2026 sample, big pressure points

Hard-court records are light this early: Stearns is 1-1, while Danilovic is 1-0. Stearns has started the season with 50% of service games won on the surface and has saved 31% of break points, but her 60% break-point conversion shows she can strike when looks arrive.

Danilovic's early break-point work has been cleaner, saving 56% and converting 83%, which can matter in a match likely to turn on a handful of games.

Danilovic steadier in the late stages

Over their last 10 matches, Danilovic is 4-6 compared to Stearns' 3-7, and she has held 67% of service games to Stearns' 64%. The first-set win rate is identical at 40%, yet Danilovic has been better in deciding sets at 50% to 20%, and she has averaged fewer double faults per match at 3.6 compared to 5.2. Stearns has been more ruthless when chances come, converting 59% of break points in that spell, so she will believe she can swing momentum quickly.

Where to watch Peyton Stearns v. Olga Danilovic Live

For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.

Bookmakers lean Danilovic, but not wildly

Bookmakers price Olga Danilovic at 1.67 against Peyton Stearns at 2.2; the first-set prices are 1.67 and 2.2. It is a clear lean rather than a landslide, especially with the season still finding its shape.

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Workload and second-serve discipline could decide it

With their rankings virtually level, this can come down to who protects second serve under pressure. Danilovic arrives without a back-to-back run and has spent 5 hours 33 minutes on court across her last three matches; Stearns has logged 6 hours 13 minutes in that same window and that extra load can show in late sets.

Stearns has been the sharper finisher on break points recently, so Danilovic cannot afford loose service games. In week two of the season, and with Melbourne close, form lines are thin and the opening exchanges may tell the story.

Prediction

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