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Roberto Bautista-Agut faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Auckland ATP last-32 on hard courts on 11 Jan 2026, with a best-of-three format setting the early-week stakes.
This preview also explains how to watch or follow the match live, and the early indicators matter because the season is only in its second week. The market leans one way, but the small sample size leaves room for a swing if the patterns tighten under pressure.FINISHED
Bautista-Agut R.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3-6
, 6-7
With the 2026 season still fresh, the hard-court record is a small snapshot rather than a settled trend. Even so, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard arrives at 2-1 on the surface, while Roberto Bautista-Agut is 0-2, and that early tilt is hard to ignore. Perricard has held 94% of his service games in that spell, a platform that can decide short matches quickly.
Over the last 10 matches overall, Bautista-Agut is 3-7, and his holding rate sits at 74% while he wins 18% of return games, which at least keeps him in touch on the scoreboard.
Mpetshi Perricard is 4-6, but the shape is extreme: 92% of service games won and 16.4 aces per match, paired with a low 3% return-games figure that suggests breaks may be scarce. His match list shows active hard-court mileage in Brisbane this month, while Bautista-Agut's most recent recorded run here dates back to August 2025.By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.
Bookmakers price Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at 1.4 against Roberto Bautista-Agut at 3, with first-set prices of 1.5 for Perricard and 2.63 for Bautista-Agut. That gap frames the contest as one where the server-friendly profile is expected to land early.
Bautista-Agut R.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
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Mpetshi Perricard's power serving is the obvious lever, and on hard courts it can turn sets into a handful of return points that must be seized. Bautista-Agut has shown the stronger return-game clip in the last-10 tendencies, so his route is to make enough balls and force a few tight service games rather than chase breaks in bunches.
There is also a workload angle: Perricard has spent 6 hours 18 minutes on court across his last three matches, compared to 7 hours 51 minutes across his last five, which may matter if this stretches beyond a quick two-set finish.Prediction
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roberto Bautista-Agut
Overall indicators tilt towards Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, led by the market price and his early hard-court numbers, particularly the high service-games held rate. The caution is that the season is only in week two and Roberto Bautista-Agut's return profile is the steadier of the two in the last-10 data, so the margins could narrow if Perricard's recent workload shows. Still, the serve-led edge points slightly more in Perricard's direction.
Odds
