Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah faces Jessika Ponchet in the Limoges indoor Challenger round of 32 on hard courts on 8 December 2025, a best-of-three-sets contest under the roof. This preview sets out how the indoor conditions, a narrow head-to-head edge for Rakotomanga Rajaonah and a market tilt towards Ponchet combine, and explains how to follow the match live on streaming or TV.
FINISHED
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Ponchet J.
6-4
, 6-2
Across this hard-court season, Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has put together a balanced 9–9 record and already lifted a title at tour level, giving her a solid body of work on the surface. By contrast, Jessika Ponchet sits at 6–8 on hard courts, with fewer wins and no trophies, and her numbers show less impact on return. Rakotomanga Rajaonah has been winning a higher share of service games and, crucially, converting close to half of her break chances compared with Ponchet's roughly one in five, a gap that can tell over three sets.
In their only previous meeting, played in an indoor clay qualifying final in Rouen earlier this year, Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah beat Jessika Ponchet in straight sets, edging the total games 13–10 and taking the sole tiebreak. That contest featured strong serving and frequent swings on return, with Rakotomanga Rajaonah able to apply slightly more pressure in the longer rallies, a pattern that could matter again under similar indoor conditions in Limoges.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Ponchet J.
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Recent results tilt a little towards Jessika Ponchet, who has gone 5–5 across her last ten matches while Rakotomanga Rajaonah has managed 3–7. Ponchet has been producing more aces on average and holding serve more frequently, and she has taken the opening set four times in that stretch, compared with just one fast start for Rakotomanga Rajaonah. Both have similar records in deciding sets, so the main difference in the form book lies in how often Ponchet has been able to grab early control.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Ponchet J.
Bookmakers price Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah at 2 to win the match against Jessika Ponchet at 1.73, with the first set listed at the same prices. That suggests the market gives Ponchet a slight edge despite Rakotomanga Rajaonah's higher ranking and stronger hard-court season numbers.
On the numbers, Rakotomanga Rajaonah brings a more rounded hard-court profile, combining a solid share of service games held with notably stronger return figures and more efficient break-point conversion. Ponchet, though, arrives with livelier recent serving, heavier ace counts and a better record of starting matches quickly, which could see her apply early scoreboard pressure under the roof in Limoges. Fatigue does not appear extreme for either player, although Ponchet has spent several more hours on court over her last five matches, which may leave a slightly heavier workload in her legs if this turns into a long, physical contest.
Prediction
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Jessika Ponchet
Overall, the data points slightly more towards Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah, whose superior hard-court season, stronger return statistics and previous win over Jessika Ponchet offer a narrow edge despite recent form and market prices favouring Ponchet. Ponchet's serve and improved last-ten record keep this close, but the combination of ranking, surface results and that indoor head-to-head victory means the indicators lean marginally towards Rakotomanga Rajaonah advancing.
Odds
