Machac v Duckworth live stream: Adelaide ATP 1/16-finals preview

Tomas Machac meets James Duckworth in the Adelaide ATP 1/16-finals on hard courts on 11 Jan 2026, with the best-of-three format setting an early-season test.

It is only the second week of the 2026 season, so the sample is small and the read is still forming. This preview runs through the key numbers, the head-to-head edge, and how to watch or follow the match live.

Duckworth's 2-0 hard-court edge

James Duckworth leads this match-up 2-0, with both meetings coming on hard courts. The most recent was a 2-0 win in the Cassis Challenger semi-finals on 10 Sep 2022, and the series has averaged 19 games per match, so it has been settled without late twists.

In those meetings Duckworth's serving numbers stood out, including 100% service games won and 8 aces per match, which kept Tomas Machac under constant pressure.

Early hard-court returns still thin

On hard courts this season Duckworth is 2-1, while Machac is 0-1, a reminder of how quickly small margins can shape an early January picture. Duckworth has held serve at 94% and converted 38% of break points, while Machac sits at 80% on serve with conversion not yet on the board. With the season only just underway, the figures are a guide rather than a verdict.

Tomas Machac v. James Duckworth Live Streaming

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Recent results favour Duckworth

Across the last 10 matches Duckworth is 7-3, while Machac is 3-7, and the first-set split is sharp at 80% to 30% in Duckworth's favour. Machac arrives off a three-set loss to Jiri Lehecka in Brisbane, and he has dropped four of his last five overall.

Duckworth, by contrast, came through Brisbane qualifying with a final run before losing in three sets to Alex Michelsen in Brisbane's main draw.

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Bookmakers still side with Machac

Bookmakers price Machac at 1.57 against Duckworth at 2.38; the first-set prices are 1.67 versus 2.2. That view leans towards a cleaner start from Machac, even with Duckworth owning the head-to-head.

Serve pressure could decide it

Machac comes in the higher-ranked player, but his recent run suggests he is still looking for a steadier level in the opening exchanges. Duckworth's recent serving and first-set record point to early scoreboard pressure, and the past meetings hint he can protect his delivery well in this pairing.

There is a workload note, though: Duckworth has logged 5 hours 13 minutes over his last three matches and 9 hours 44 minutes over his last five, so legs and focus late in sets may matter. With the season only in week two, a fast start could outweigh any longer-term trend.

Prediction

Odds