Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka
WTA #1
Season Form: 224 pts
Yield:
0.96%
Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula
WTA #4
Season Form: 144 pts
Yield:
2.42%
WTA Miami Open
Final
29 Mar 2025
19:30 UTC
hard out

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula.

Season Stats H2H Matches Surface Stats Prediction Full Odds
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
7
5
6
2
-
-
-
-
-
-
A. Sabalenka vs J. Pegula has ended. The winner of the match was Aryna Sabalenka. To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match Statistics

Match Statistics
A. Sabalenka
Stats
J. Pegula
Service
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
43/65 (66%)
First serve
47/64 (73%)
21/22 (95%)
2nd serve
14/17 (82%)
12/22 (55%)
2nd serve pts
4/17 (24%)
10
Serv. games played
10
7/11 (63%)
Break pts saved
9/16 (56%)
Points
74
Total Pts
55
37
Srv. pts. won
27
37
Receiver pts. won
28
Games
13
Total games won
7
6
Srv. games won
3
Return
24/47 (51%)
1st serve return pts.
18/43 (41%)
13/17 (76%)
2nd serve return pts.
10/22 (45%)
7
Break pts conv.
4

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Live Stream

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Live Stream
A. Sabalenka vs J. Pegula
Start Streaming Now!
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Season Statistics

Head to Head Season Data
A. Sabalenka
2025 Stats
J. Pegula
26
Matches
25
1
Titles 2025
1
22
Won
20
4
Lost
5
84.62 %
Win Perc.
80 %
83
Aces
64
3.19
Avg. Aces/match
2.56
1.15
Doub. Faults Avg.
1.92
59
Sets Won
47
406
Games Won
335
42.9% (3/7)
Best of 3 Won
57.1% (4/7)
80% (4/5)
Tiebreaks Won
44.4% (4/9)
38 hrs, 33 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
46 hrs, 52 mins
1 hrs, 28 mins
ToC/Match
1 hrs, 52 mins
5 hrs, 3 mins
ToC current tour
9 hrs, 46 mins
61.4% (196/319)
Pressure Points Won
65.2% (195/299)
38.6% (123/319)
Pressure Points Lost
34.8% (104/299)
1
WTA Rank
4

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula H2H Matches

Head to Head Matches
A. Sabalenka
H2H Matches
J. Pegula
6
Wins
2
3
Hard Out.
2
3
Clay
0
2
In Finals
0
Matches (8)
7 Sep 2024
Sabalenka A.
WTA US Open
19 Aug 2024
Sabalenka A.
WTA Cincinnati
31 Oct 2023
Pegula J.
WTA Finals
Aryna Sabalenka holds a clear advantage in the head-to-head matches against Jessica Pegula. Aryna Sabalenka has a better record than Jessica Pegula in their head-to-head matches played on hard courts (3-2). Aryna Sabalenka holds the advantage over Jessica Pegula in matches played in tournament finals, with a score of 2-0.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Surface Season Statistics

Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
A. Sabalenka
2025 hard out stats
J. Pegula
26
Matches
25
1
Titles 2025
1
22
Won
20
4
Lost
5
84.62 %
Win Perc.
80 %
83
Aces
64
3.19
Avg. Aces/match
2.56
30
Doub. Faults
48
1.15
Doub. Faults Avg.
1.92
109
Break Points (BP)
98
4.19
BP Converted Avg
3.92
65.13 %
BP Saved
57.69 %
69.73 %
First Serve Pts
69.04 %
54.42 %
Second Serve Pts
52.84 %
61.4% (196/319)
Pressure Pts Won
65.2% (195/299)
38.6% (123/319)
Pressure Pts Lost
34.8% (104/299)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

Prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Both players are ranked within the Top 5 of the WTA, which may imply that their rankings may not be crucial in determining the outcome of today's match. However, it is possible that the player with the higher ranking may still hold a slight advantage over his opponent.
Chances by Odds
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
76.2%
23.8%
Chances by Form
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
60.9%
39.1%
Final Chances
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
68.5%
31.5%
Match Winner
68.5 %
Aryna Sabalenka
Confidence: fairly high
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Aryna Sabalenka, by a comfortable margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
To check the performance of all our predictions, you can visit Prediction Check.
Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.
Aryna Sabalenka
Current season yields for Aryna Sabalenka. Total Matches: 25. As favorite: 25. As underdog: 0.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
25
0.24
0.96%
Favorite
250
2.4
0.96%
Underdog
0
0
n/a
Jessica Pegula
Current season yields for Jessica Pegula. Total Matches: 24. As favorite: 23. As underdog: 1.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
24
0.58
2.42%
Favorite
230
15.8
6.87%
Underdog
10
-10
-100%

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Odds

PreMatch Odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Bet Now
To Win Match
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka
1.25
Jessica Pegula
4
First Set Winner
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka
1.363
Jessica Pegula
3.2
Handicap 2-Way - Games Won
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka (-4.5)
1.8
Jessica Pegula (+4.5)
1.909
Total Games 2-Way
Odds
Over 20.5
1.833
Under 20.5
1.833
Set Betting
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka to win 2 - 0
1.727
Aryna Sabalenka to win 2 - 1
3.75
Jessica Pegula to win 2 - 0
7
Jessica Pegula to win 2 - 1
7
Double Result
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka to win 1st set and WIN match
1.444
Aryna Sabalenka to win 1st set and LOSE match
11
Jessica Pegula to win 1st set and WIN match
5
Jessica Pegula to win 1st set and LOSE match
7
First Set Score
Odds
Aryna Sabalenka to win 6-0
17
Aryna Sabalenka to win 6-1
7
Aryna Sabalenka to win 6-2
7.5
Aryna Sabalenka to win 6-3
4.333
Aryna Sabalenka to win 6-4
7.5
Aryna Sabalenka to win 7-5
13
Aryna Sabalenka to win 7-6
10
Jessica Pegula to win 6-0
51
Jessica Pegula to win 6-1
34
Jessica Pegula to win 6-2
15
Jessica Pegula to win 6-3
17
Jessica Pegula to win 6-4
8.5
Jessica Pegula to win 7-5
23
Jessica Pegula to win 7-6
15
1st Set Total Games
Odds
Over 6.5
1.03
Under 6.5
15
Over 7.5
1.181
Under 7.5
4.5
Over 8.5
1.444
Under 8.5
2.625
Under 9.5
1.615
Over 9.5
2.2
Over 10.5
4
Under 10.5
1.222
Over 12.5
7
Under 12.5
1.1
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