Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka
WTA #1
Season Form: 176 pts
Yield:
-5.16%
Madison Keys
Madison Keys
WTA #5
Season Form: 268 pts
Yield:
69%
WTA Indian Wells
Semifinals
15 Mar 2025
01:00 UTC
hard out

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys.

Season Stats H2H Matches Surface Stats Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Odds

PreMatch Odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys
Who Will Win?
Odds
A. Sabalenka
1.44
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Live Stream

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Live Stream
A. Sabalenka vs M. Keys
Start Streaming Now!
You can watch A. Sabalenka vs M. Keys live, but the platform you choose will depend on your location. Wtatv.com, bet365 or Stake typically stream WTA matches. If you are in the United States, you can also use fuboTV. Take a look below to see which service is available in your area, and then get started with the match.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Season Statistics

Head to Head Season Data
A. Sabalenka
2025 Stats
M. Keys
19
Matches
19
1
Titles 2025
2
16
Won
18
3
Lost
1
84.21 %
Win Perc.
94.74 %
64
Aces
96
3.37
Avg. Aces/match
5.05
1.32
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.89
47
Sets Won
50
326
Games Won
367
50% (3/6)
Best of 3 Won
100% (15/15)
80% (4/5)
Tiebreaks Won
71.4% (5/7)
30 hrs, 33 mins
Time on Court (ToC)
49 hrs, 43 mins
1 hrs, 36 mins
ToC/Match
2 hrs, 37 mins
5 hrs, 21 mins
ToC current tour
7 hrs, 14 mins
62% (158/255)
Pressure Points Won
61.8% (160/259)
38% (97/255)
Pressure Points Lost
38.2% (99/259)
1
WTA Rank
5

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys H2H Matches

Head to Head Matches
A. Sabalenka
H2H Matches
M. Keys
4
Overall Wins
2
3
Hard Out.
1
1
Grass
1
0
In Finals
1
Matches (6)
25 Jan 2025
Keys M.
WTA Australian Open
2 Oct 2024
Sabalenka A.
WTA Beijing
8 Sep 2023
Sabalenka A.
WTA US Open
Taking a closer look at their past encounters, it seems that Aryna Sabalenka has a slightly better record against Madison Keys. Aryna Sabalenka has a better record than Madison Keys in their head-to-head matches played on hard courts (3-1). Madison Keys holds the advantage over Aryna Sabalenka in matches played in tournament finals, with a score of 1-0.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Surface Season Statistics

Surface Season Data
Since the match is played on hard out, you can check the players stats on this surface below.
A. Sabalenka
2025 hard out stats
M. Keys
19
Matches
19
1
Titles 2025
2
16
Won
18
3
Lost
1
84.21 %
Win Perc.
94.74 %
64
Aces
96
3.37
Avg. Aces/match
5.05
25
Doub. Faults
55
1.32
Doub. Faults Avg.
2.89
79
Break Points (BP)
87
4.16
BP Converted Avg
4.58
63.48 %
BP Saved
63.2 %
70.26 %
First Serve Pts
71.68 %
52.16 %
Second Serve Pts
50 %
62% (158/255)
Pressure Pts Won
61.8% (160/259)
38% (97/255)
Pressure Pts Lost
38.2% (99/259)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Prediction

Prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys
Both players are ranked within the Top 5 of the WTA, which may imply that their rankings may not be crucial in determining the outcome of today's match. However, it is possible that the player with the higher ranking may still hold a slight advantage over his opponent.
Chances by Odds
A. Sabalenka
M. Keys
65.6%
34.4%
Chances by Form
A. Sabalenka
M. Keys
39.6%
60.4%
Final Chances
A. Sabalenka
M. Keys
52.6%
47.4%
Match Winner
52.6 %
Aryna Sabalenka
Confidence: moderate
After analyzing the betting odds and the form of the players, by using our unique season points form system, we believe the winner will be Aryna Sabalenka, but not by a very big margin.
Disclaimer: While we strive for accuracy, it's important to note that sports predictions can never be guaranteed. We encourage responsible betting and urge our visitors to make decisions based on their own assessment. We are not responsible, and we cannot be held liable for any losses or wins that individuals may experience while using our predictions.
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Players Yields
The yields shown were calculated before this match. Please visit our Help page to understand how these values work.
Aryna Sabalenka
Current season yields for Aryna Sabalenka. Total Matches: 19. As favorite: 19. As underdog: 0.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
19
-0.98
-5.16%
Favorite
190
-9.8
-5.16%
Underdog
0
0
n/a
Madison Keys
Current season yields for Madison Keys. Total Matches: 18. As favorite: 15. As underdog: 3.
Type
Staked $
Profit $
Yield
Overall
18
12.42
69%
Favorite
150
41.2
27.47%
Underdog
30
83
276.67%
GambleAware.Org 18+
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