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WTA/Indian Wells WTA/1/32-finals

Raducanu v Zakharova: where to watch and match preview for Indian Wells

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Mar 5, 2026(..)

Emma Raducanu faces Anastasia Zakharova in the Indian Wells WTA 1/32-finals on hard courts on 6 March, with a best-of-three format shaping an early test. This preview also explains where to watch and how to follow the match live.

Raducanu arrives as the higher-ranked player, and the market reflects that. But Zakharova's recent results have been slightly steadier, so the early games may hinge on whether Raducanu can turn her return numbers into consistent pressure.

FINISHED

Raducanu E.

2
0

Zakharova A.

6-1

, 6-3

Raducanu's return edge meets Zakharova's hold rate

On hard courts this season, Raducanu is 6-6 while Zakharova is 9-7, a small volume and results edge for Zakharova. The split in style is clearer: Zakharova has won 66% of service games, but Raducanu has taken 40% of return games, which can drag opponents into more frequent scoreboard pressure.

Recent form is close, but the pressure points differ

Across the last 10 matches, Raducanu is 5-5 and Zakharova 6-4, with both winning 60% of first sets. Raducanu has been more productive on return (42% of return games won), while Zakharova has been a touch steadier behind serve (67% of service games won), so the momentum may swing on break chances rather than outright winners. The workload is similar too, with both around eight hours over their last five matches and no back-to-back scheduling flagged.

Watch Emma Raducanu v. Anastasia Zakharova Live Online

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Bookmakers make Raducanu the clear favourite

Bookmakers price Raducanu at 1.4 against Zakharova at 3; first-set prices are 1.5 versus 2.63. That gap suggests the expectation is for Raducanu to establish control early, even if the underlying form numbers are not wildly separated.

Raducanu E.

Zakharova A.

Win Percentage
50 %60 %
Aces per match
1.5 0.8
Double Faults per match
3.1 2.1
First Serve Points Won
62 %65 %
Second Serve Points Won
45 %46 %
Return Points Won
46 %45 %
Break Points Converted
51 %45 %
Break Points Saved
54 %54 %

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Rank gap suggests control, but rallies may stretch

Raducanu's ranking and points advantage sets a baseline expectation, and her stronger recent return figures give her a direct route to turning that into breaks. Zakharova, though, has posted the better hard-court hold rate this season and her matches have tended to run longer on average (22.6 games per match compared with 20.4), which can keep sets tight even without dominant spells. If Raducanu converts pressure efficiently, the match can move quickly; if not, Zakharova has enough serve stability to stay in striking distance.

Prediction

Indian Wells WTAPICK

Emma Raducanu

64%
Predicted Winner

Anastasia Zakharova

Overall indicators tilt towards Emma Raducanu, with the market strongly on her side and a clear ranking gap setting the expectation. The numbers also point to a practical edge: her recent return success is higher, which matters most against an opponent whose season profile leans on holding serve. Anastasia Zakharova's slightly better recent record keeps it competitive, but Raducanu has more routes to take control if she applies early pressure.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

17.5

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