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Martin Landaluce faces Rafael Jodar at the Next Gen Finals in Jeddah on 18 Dec 2025, an indoor hard-court contest scheduled over the best of five sets.
This preview also explains how to watch or follow the match live. The market leans towards Jodar despite Landaluce being the higher-ranked player, and the underlying numbers point to a clear clash: Landaluce’s ability to hold serve against Jodar’s knack for applying return pressure.FINISHED
Landaluce M.
Jodar R.
3-4
, 1-4
, 3-4
On hard courts this season, Martin Landaluce is 24–17 with one Challenger title, while Rafael Jodar is 37–12 with three. Landaluce has held serve 79% of the time, but Jodar has won 36% of return games, a combination that hints at frequent pressure moments. Jodar’s break-point conversion on the surface sits at 47%, so Landaluce may need his 64% break-point save rate to keep sets tight.
Landaluce is 4–6 across his last 10 matches and has lost four of his last five, including two defeats in Jeddah on 17 Dec. Jodar is 8–2 over the same span and has won six of his last seven, with a cleaner profile on serve at 1 double fault per match. That steadiness has helped him start well too, taking the first set 60% of the time compared with Landaluce’s 40%.
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Bookmakers price Martin Landaluce at 2.43 against Rafael Jodar at 1.56, with first-set prices 2.2 versus 1.67. It reflects a view that Jodar’s edge is more than marginal, even in a longer format.
Landaluce M.
Jodar R.
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With no head-to-head record to lean on, this looks like a match where patterns should emerge set by set. Jodar’s recent mix of stronger returning and lower error markers on serve offers a logical route to control, but Landaluce’s higher hold rate this season suggests he can keep scorelines close if he protects second-serve phases. Both players come in off back-to-back scheduling and similar court time over the last three matches, so the longer distance could turn on who manages the key points better late on.
Prediction
Rafael Jodar
Martin Landaluce
Overall indicators tilt towards Rafael Jodar: the odds make him a clear favourite, and his 8–2 last-10 record stacks up strongly against Martin Landaluce’s 4–6. The season split on hard courts also supports a path for Jodar through return pressure, even if Landaluce’s higher serve-hold rate keeps it competitive. In a best-of-five, that blend of momentum and break-point efficiency gives Jodar the slightly safer profile.
Odds
