The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Robin Montgomery and Barbora Krejcikova meet in the Hertogenbosch WTA final on 14 June, a best-of-three contest on grass that pits a fast-rising American against a former major champion. Montgomery has yet to drop a match on the surface in 2026, but Krejcikova's grass-court efficiency and market pricing tell a different story.
Krejcikova enters as a heavy favourite. Yet Montgomery's perfect 6-0 record on grass this season demands attention, even if the level of opposition has been modest.FINISHED
(WALKOVER)
Montgomery R.
Krejcikova B.
Montgomery is 6-0 on grass this year. She has won 86% of her service games and converted 55% of break points. Those numbers are superb. Krejcikova also holds a 4-0 grass record, but her underlying efficiency is more striking: she has claimed 50% of return games, a mark that spells constant pressure on the Montgomery serve. The Czech's service games sit at 89%, giving her a reliable anchor.
Krejcikova has won eight of her last ten matches, Montgomery seven. The difference in high-leverage moments is clear. Krejcikova has taken the first set in 80% of those contests and won three of four deciding sets. Montgomery's first-set rate is 70%, and she drops to 50% in deciders. That suggests the American can be vulnerable when matches tighten.
Bookmakers price Krejcikova at 1.4 to win the title, with Montgomery at 3. The first-set market echoes that gap: Krejcikova 1.44, Montgomery 2.75. It is a confident assessment of the Czech's superior ranking and grass pedigree, though Montgomery's perfect surface run adds a sliver of uncertainty.
Montgomery will rely on her serve. She averages 6.5 aces per match in her last ten outings, a weapon that can steal cheap points. But Krejcikova's return game on grass is elite. Winning half of return points, she should generate multiple break looks per set. The Czech also carries a slightly heavier workload from the week – nearly five hours in her last three matches – yet her closing record in tight situations remains strong. Montgomery's 86% service holds may not be enough against a returner of this quality.
Montgomery R.
Krejcikova B.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
Prediction
Barbora Krejcikova
Robin Montgomery
Krejcikova's return numbers on grass tilt the final decisively in her favour. Montgomery has served impressively, but the step up in opponent class and Krejcikova's 8-2 recent run, including a 75% record in deciding sets, point to a controlled victory for the higher-ranked Czech.
Odds
