Tomljanovic v Jovic live stream details for Austin WTA last 16

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Feb 25, 2026(..)

Ajla Tomljanovic meets Iva Jovic in the Austin WTA last 16 on hard courts on 26 February, with a best-of-three contest shaping the path towards the quarter-finals.

Jovic comes in as the higher-ranked player and her hard-court results this season back that up, which helps explain why the betting market has her so short. This preview also sets out where to watch or follow the match live, alongside the form trends that could decide it.

FINISHED

Tomljanovic A.

Jovic I.

4-6

, 6-4

Jovic's hard-court volume sets the tone

Jovic's hard-court record this season stands at 14-4, while Tomljanovic is 4-3, a gap that points to both momentum and match mileage at this level. The underlying numbers lean the same way: Jovic wins 46% of return games to Tomljanovic's 40%, which can turn tight sets on a few key points. Tomljanovic has been slightly stronger on break-point defence (67% saved), so she will want that to hold up under pressure.

Recent form still favours Jovic

Across their last 10 matches, Jovic is 7-3 and Tomljanovic is 5-5, so the recent results edge sits with the favourite. Their first-set success is identical at 70%, but the routes look different: Jovic combines 75% service games won with a cleaner error profile, while Tomljanovic's 5.1 double faults per match is a clear vulnerability. If this goes deep, Jovic has also been flawless in deciding sets recently (100%), even if the sample may be small.

How to watch Ajla Tomljanovic v. Iva Jovic Online

Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.

Bookmakers install Jovic as clear favourite

Bookmakers price Jovic at 1.22 against Tomljanovic at 4.33, with first-set prices 1.3 versus 3.5. The message is simple: the market expects Jovic to assert control early and often.

Tomljanovic A.

Jovic I.

Win Percentage

50 %70 %

Aces per match

1.3 2.7

Double Faults per match

5.5 1.2

First Serve Points Won

63 %66 %

Second Serve Points Won

44 %57 %

Return Points Won

45 %46 %

Break Points Converted

41 %43 %

Break Points Saved

65 %59 %

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Second-serve safety could decide it

Jovic's edge on return games and her lower double-fault rate suggest she is better placed for the match's pressure moments, especially on break points. Tomljanovic can make this awkward if she protects her service rhythm and keeps the free points down, because both players have been strong starters in first sets (70%). There is also a small workload note: Jovic has logged 6 hours 20 minutes across her last five matches compared with Tomljanovic's 5 hours 56, though neither arrives off back-to-back matches.

Prediction

Austin WTAPICK

Iva Jovic

79%

Predicted Winner

Ajla Tomljanovic

Overall indicators tilt towards Iva Jovic, led by the market pricing and a stronger hard-court season record. Her recent 7-3 run, plus a clear advantage in double-fault control, points to a steadier baseline for a best-of-three match. Ajla Tomljanovic's first-set bite keeps the door open early, but Jovic has more paths to sustain pressure across sets.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS