Vukic v Vavassori in Adelaide: where to watch and match preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 13, 2026(..)

Aleksandar Vukic meets Andrea Vavassori in the Adelaide ATP last 16 on hard courts on 14 January, a best-of-three contest as the Australian Open approaches. Below, you will also find how to watch or follow the match live.

It is only week two of the new season, so the data is still settling. Even so, the market leans to Vukic and his recent results have been the more consistent, while Vavassori's early-start numbers suggest he can strike quickly if he begins sharply.

FINISHED

Vukic A.

Vavassori A.

6-2

, 7-6

Early hard-court sample still small

Both men have made a positive start on hard courts, with Vukic at 3-1 and Vavassori 3-0. The margins are thin this early, but Vavassori has saved break points at 83% so far, a useful marker when sets get tight.

Vukic's ATP matches have run longer on average, around 26 games compared with 20.3 for Vavassori, which hints at closer scorelines when he is drawn into extended service holds.

Momentum built in Adelaide

Vukic arrives at 7-3 across his last 10 matches and has won three straight in Adelaide, capped by a 2-0 win over Tsitsipas S. Vavassori is 5-5 in his last 10, yet he also comes in on a three-match winning run and opened the week with a 2-0 win over Diallo G. Both have already banked qualifying wins here, so the feel-good factor is real, even if the schedule has been busy.

How to watch Aleksandar Vukic v. Andrea Vavassori Online

Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.

Prices edge towards Vukic

Bookmakers price Vukic at 1.57 against Vavassori at 2.38, with first-set prices at 1.62 and 2.3. That shape reflects a clear favourite, but not one being priced as a foregone conclusion.

Vukic A.

Vavassori A.

Win Percentage

70 %50 %

Aces per match

7.4 6.7

Double Faults per match

2.1 3.4

First Serve Points Won

69 %70 %

Second Serve Points Won

53 %47 %

Return Points Won

32 %35 %

Break Points Converted

42 %33 %

Break Points Saved

68 %60 %

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Fast starts could decide the tone

Vukic has been the steadier server in recent matches, winning 80% of service games over his last 10, and he has generally protected his second serve better, with 2.1 double faults per match against 3.4 for Vavassori.

The counterpoint is early-set control: Vavassori has won 60% of first sets across his last 10, while Vukic sits at 30%, so the opening games matter. Both are coming off back-to-back match days and have logged 6 hours 18 minutes (Vukic) and 4 hours 27 minutes (Vavassori) across their last three matches, a small note of caution with the first Grand Slam of 2026 close.

Prediction

Adelaide ATPPICK

Aleksandar Vukic

63%

Predicted Winner

Andrea Vavassori

Overall indicators tilt towards Aleksandar Vukic: the market makes him favourite and his 7-3 run across the last 10 is backed up by stronger recent service hold. Andrea Vavassori's first-set record keeps the upset path open, especially in this early-season window, but the balance of form and pricing points slightly more towards Vukic over three sets.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS