Zverev v Cerundolo live stream guide and Australian Open last-16 preview

Alexander Zverev meets Francisco Cerundolo in the Australian Open last 16 on hard courts on 25 January, with a best-of-five quarter-final place on the line.

Both have negotiated their way into the second week, and that is usually when the margins tighten. Below, you'll find how to watch or follow live, plus the key numbers on form, head-to-head and what the market is pricing into this match-up.

Cerundolo holds the overall edge

Francisco Cerundolo leads the series 3-2 overall, although their one hard-court meeting ended early, with Alexander Zverev in front before retirement in Toronto in August 2025. The most recent completed match came on clay in Madrid in April 2024, when Cerundolo won 2-0.

It has not been a rivalry full of long deciders, but it has swung on key moments, including a single tie-break that went Zverev's way.

Hard-court season numbers are tight

On hard courts this season, Zverev is 4-1 and Cerundolo 3-1, and the underlying hold-and-break picture is similarly close. Zverev has won 89% of service games to Cerundolo's 88%, while Cerundolo has a slight edge on return games won at 30% to 29%.

Even the pressure stats are narrow, with Cerundolo saving 65% of break points faced and Zverev converting 51% of his chances.

Where to watch Alexander Zverev v. Francisco Cerundolo Live

By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.

Zverev's recent run meets Cerundolo's clean wins

Zverev is 7-3 across his last 10 matches and has won four of his last five, but his three Australian Open victories in that stretch have all come in four sets. Cerundolo is 5-5 over the same span, yet he has built momentum in Melbourne with three straight-set wins, including a 3-0 defeat of Andrey Rublev. Workload may be a quiet subplot too: Zverev has logged 8 hours 35 minutes over his last three matches, compared to Cerundolo's 5 hours 55 minutes.

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Bookmakers install Zverev as clear favourite

Bookmakers price Zverev at 1.36 against Cerundolo at 3.2; the first-set prices are 1.5 versus 2.63. It reflects a belief that Zverev can control enough service games over five sets, even if the contest gets complicated in week two.

First-set pressure could decide the tone

Zverev's recent numbers point to a bigger first-strike edge, with 11.2 aces per match and a 90% service-games-won rate over his last 10, and that can buy him time when sets become tight. Cerundolo, though, has started quickly more often, winning 60% of first sets in his last 10, and his overall edge in their series hints that he is comfortable in the patterns they produce. With both men deep in the tournament, the match may turn less on one dominant passage and more on who keeps their level through the longer stretches that best-of-five demands.

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