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ATP/Adelaide ATP/1/16-finals

Altmaier v Munar live stream and prediction for Adelaide ATP first-round meeting

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 10, 2026(..)

Daniel Altmaier meets Jaume Munar in the Adelaide ATP 1/16-finals on hard courts on 11 Jan 2026, with the pair set for a best-of-three start to their season.

This preview also explains how to follow the match live, with the early-week schedule in mind. Bookmakers lean towards Munar and the rankings do too, but the head-to-head is square and this tournament is still a fresh read so early in 2026.

FINISHED

Altmaier D.

Munar J.

3-6

, 0-6

Rivalry level, but built on clay

They are 2-2 across four previous meetings, with a combined 25.5 games per match on average, so the history points towards tight scorelines. Every one of those contests came on clay, though, which limits the direct carry-over to Adelaide's hard courts. The most recent was at the French Open in May 2022, when Munar won 3-1 in sets.

Altmaier D.

Munar J.

Wins

2 2

First Serve Points Won

65 %63 %

Second Serve Points Won

47 %54 %

Return Points Won

40 %43 %

Break Points Converted

48 %43 %

Break Points Saved

57 %52 %

Hard-court season numbers come with an asterisk

Both men arrive 0-2 on hard courts this season, a reminder that the 2026 sample is still small. Even so, Munar's early hold rate on the surface sits at 85% compared to Altmaier's 56%, which would matter if this becomes a serve-led match. With so few matches logged, that gap is best read as a signal rather than a verdict.

How to watch Daniel Altmaier v. Jaume Munar Online

By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.

Recent form is even, Munar holds more often

Over the last 10 matches, both players are 4-6. Munar has held serve 87% of the time across that spell and has won the opening set in 50% of those matches, edging Altmaier's 80% and 40% on the same measures.

The shape of the results differs: Munar has lost his last four, while Altmaier has mixed straight-set wins with defeats and arrives off back-to-back losses in early January.

Altmaier D.

Munar J.

Win Percentage

40 %40 %

Aces per match

7.3 7.5

Double Faults per match

2.6 1.6

First Serve Points Won

75 %78 %

Second Serve Points Won

44 %50 %

Return Points Won

31 %33 %

Break Points Converted

29 %44 %

Break Points Saved

63 %67 %

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Bookmakers make Munar the clear favourite

Bookmakers price Altmaier at 2.63 against Munar at 1.5; the first-set prices are 2.38 versus 1.57. It is a firm lean, but the season's just getting going and the pair's past meetings do not offer a hard-court template.

Pressure points: Altmaier's return, Munar's legs

If Munar can reproduce the stronger hold numbers suggested by his recent stretch, the burden shifts onto Altmaier to create chances on return rather than simply trading games. That is where the workload note bites: Munar has logged 11 hours and 17 minutes across his last five matches, compared to Altmaier's 6 hours and 3 minutes, which may matter if the match drifts deep. With the head-to-head historically close, the cleaner moments under pressure could decide it quickly.

Prediction

Adelaide ATPPICK

Jaume Munar

60%

Predicted Winner

Daniel Altmaier

Overall indicators tilt towards Jaume Munar, led by the market position and a small rankings edge, with his recent serve-hold numbers also pointing to a slightly higher baseline. The caveats are real, though: the head-to-head is level and entirely clay-based, and Munar's heavier recent workload could show if it stretches. In a new-season setting, the lean is cautious rather than definitive.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS