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Elina Svitolina and Mirra Andreeva meet in the Australian Open last 16 on hard courts on 25 January, with a best-of-three place in the quarter-finals on the line.
This preview breaks down form, head-to-head and what the odds are signalling, and it also explains how to watch or follow the match live as the tournament moves into its second week.FINISHED
Svitolina E.
Andreeva M.
6-2
, 6-4
Their rivalry is still new, but it already leans Andreeva's way at 1-0. She beat Svitolina 2-0 in the Indian Wells quarter-finals on 13 March 2025 on hard courts, and the match stayed fairly contained at 21 games, with no deciding set required. In that meeting, the numbers pointed to cleaner control on serve for Andreeva, and that matters again on a surface where quick holds can decide the rhythm.
Svitolina E.
Andreeva M.
Both arrive with strong hard-court records this season: Svitolina is 8-0, while Andreeva is 9-1. Andreeva has the slightly firmer hold profile at 83% service games won, but Svitolina has been the sharper converter at 59% on break points, which can flip close sets in a hurry.
Their average match lengths are similar too, with Svitolina's at 21.9 games and Andreeva's at 20.4, hinting at tight scorelines rather than extended marathons.By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.
Svitolina has won nine of her last 10 matches and she has started quickly, taking the opening set 90% of the time. Andreeva is 8-2 over the same span, but her return numbers stand out at 47% of return games won, a level that can keep pressure on even solid service days. Workload is comparable across five matches, yet Andreeva has logged 4 hours 40 minutes across her last three compared to Svitolina's 4 hours 1 minute, a small detail that can still colour the later stages of a second-week contest.
Svitolina E.
Andreeva M.
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Bookmakers price Andreeva at 1.5 against Svitolina at 2.63; first-set prices sit at 1.57 versus 2.38. It fits the narrow edge she holds in the matchup so far, even with Svitolina's recent wins keeping the conversation honest.
Second-week matches tend to be complicated, and this one sets up as a battle between Svitolina's strong early-set record and Andreeva's ability to apply return pressure across a match. The hard-court profiles suggest few giveaways: Andreeva holds a touch more often, while Svitolina has been more clinical when break chances appear. With the market shading towards Andreeva and the head-to-head already tilted her way, the key question is whether Svitolina can turn that hot recent form into a lead before the match settles.
Prediction
Mirra Andreeva
Elina Svitolina
Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Mirra Andreeva, with the odds installing her as favourite and the head-to-head already pointing her way from their straight-sets meeting on hard courts. Elina Svitolina's 9-1 run and her 90% first-set win rate keep it tight, but Andreeva's stronger hold numbers on the surface and her higher recent return-game success give her a small, match-shaping edge.
Odds
