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Felix Auger-Aliassime meets Kamil Majchrzak in the Hertogenbosch ATP quarter-finals on 12 June. It is a best-of-three contest on grass. The world number four is the heavy favourite, but Majchrzak arrives with five wins from his last six matches on the surface. His recent grass pedigree makes this a more nuanced test than the rankings alone suggest.
FINISHED
Auger-Aliassime F.
Majchrzak K.
4-6
, 3-6
Auger-Aliassime has won both previous meetings, including a final in 2018. Those matches came on clay and hard, however. The pair have never played on grass, and the most recent clash was seven years ago – which limits its predictive value.
Auger-Aliassime F.
Majchrzak K.
Auger-Aliassime has played just one competitive match on grass this season, winning his opener here in straight sets. Majchrzak, by contrast, has built a 5-1 record on the surface. That run includes two qualifying wins and a semi-final in the Birmingham Challenger. His service games won percentage on grass sits at 91 per cent, with return games at 26 per cent.
Over their last ten matches overall, Auger-Aliassime has six wins and Majchrzak five. The Canadian has been slightly more efficient on serve, holding 86 per cent of the time compared to 84 per cent for the Pole. But Majchrzak's recent form has been built almost entirely on grass, while Auger-Aliassime's includes a mix of clay results – including a fourth-round exit at the French Open.
Bookmakers price Auger-Aliassime at 1.33 to win the match, with Majchrzak at 3.4. The first-set market tells a similar story: 1.44 on the favourite and 2.75 on the underdog.
Auger-Aliassime F.
Majchrzak K.
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Auger-Aliassime's power and higher ranking make him the clear favourite. Yet Majchrzak's recent grass numbers suggest he can be more competitive than the odds imply. The Pole has won 91 per cent of his service games on the surface this season and converted 51 per cent of break points. Auger-Aliassime has only one grass match under his belt in 2026. That lack of recent grass court time could allow Majchrzak to stay close, especially if he holds serve regularly.
Prediction
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Kamil Majchrzak
The market's confidence in Auger-Aliassime is backed by his superior ranking and unbeaten head-to-head record. However, Majchrzak's prolific grass-court form this season suggests he can make the world number four work hard. Expect the favourite to prevail, but perhaps not without a test.
Odds
