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ATP/Montpellier ATP (indoor)/1/16-finals

Medjedovic v Wawrinka live stream details and preview for Montpellier indoor hard-court 1/16-finals

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Feb 3, 2026(..)

Hamad Medjedovic meets Stan Wawrinka in the Montpellier ATP (indoor) 1/16-finals on hard courts on 4 February, with the best-of-three format setting a fast pace.

Medjedovic arrives with the higher ranking and a steadier hard-court record this season, while Wawrinka's recent numbers hint at slow starts. This preview breaks down the key form lines and explains how to watch or follow the match live.

FINISHED

Medjedovic H.

0
2

Wawrinka S.

6-7

, 4-6

Medjedovic bringing more hard-court traction

On hard courts this season, Medjedovic is 4-2 while Wawrinka sits at 3-5. The split is not just about wins: Medjedovic is winning 21% of return games and converting 38% of break points, which points to more consistent pressure in rallies.

Wawrinka's service numbers hold up, but his average match length is 36.5 games, hinting at tight sets where a couple of return games can swing the outcome.

Wawrinka's first-set trend puts him under heat

Across the last 10 matches, Medjedovic is 5-5 and Wawrinka is 4-6, but the early pattern is stark: Wawrinka has won 10% of first sets compared to Medjedovic's 40%. Medjedovic's recent run includes a final in Auckland qualifying and a win at the Australian Open before losing to Alex De Minaur; Wawrinka won twice in Melbourne, including a five-set match against Arthur Gea, then fell to Taylor Fritz.

Hamad Medjedovic v. Stan Wawrinka Live Streaming

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Bookmakers shade Medjedovic in the prices

Bookmakers price Medjedovic at 1.57 against Wawrinka at 2.38; the first-set market is 1.67 versus 2.2. That leans towards Medjedovic, but it still leaves room for a close match if Wawrinka's serve holds up under indoor conditions.

Medjedovic H.

Wawrinka S.

Win Percentage
50 %40 %
Aces per match
9.7 11.4
Double Faults per match
3.6 2.1
First Serve Points Won
72 %77 %
Second Serve Points Won
49 %57 %
Return Points Won
34 %31 %
Break Points Converted
38 %20 %
Break Points Saved
66 %69 %

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Return pressure against a big-hold baseline

Both men have been holding serve at a high rate recently, with Wawrinka at 88% service games won over the last 10 and Medjedovic at 83%, so the contest may come down to who can force more uncomfortable second serves. The return numbers favour Medjedovic, though, and Wawrinka's 7% return-games-won rate in his last 10 is a tough base to build from.

There is also a workload gap: Wawrinka has logged 15 hours 8 minutes across his last five matches compared to Medjedovic's 11 hours 26 minutes, which may matter if sets stay long.

Prediction

Montpellier ATP (indoor)PICK

Hamad Medjedovic

63%
Predicted Winner

Stan Wawrinka

Overall indicators tilt towards Hamad Medjedovic: the market makes him the favourite, and his hard-court season profile shows stronger return impact than Stan Wawrinka's. Add in the first-set split from their last-10 data and the heavier recent workload on Wawrinka's side, and Medjedovic looks slightly better placed to control the key moments.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

19.5

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ATP Rankings

Full List
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