Sakkari v Andreeva live stream: Australian Open round-of-32 preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 20, 2026(..)

Maria Sakkari and Mirra Andreeva open their Australian Open WTA round-of-32 meeting on hard courts on 21 January, playing best-of-three sets with early-season momentum at stake.

This preview also covers how to watch or follow the match live, alongside the key form trends and what the market pricing suggests. With the 2026 season only three weeks old, the margins can look sharper than the sample size.

FINISHED

Sakkari M.

Andreeva M.

0-6

, 4-6

Andreeva arrives with the stronger hard-court start

Andreeva has opened her hard-court season at 7-1 and already has one WTA title, while Sakkari is 3-2 on the surface. Break-point figures are similar, with both saving 57%, but the match-length averages hint at tight sets: 21.1 games per match for Andreeva and 20.2 for Sakkari. In week three of the season, that early edge matters, even if it is still a small body of work.

Sakkari’s cleaner recent baseline, Andreeva’s grit late

Over their last 10 matches overall, Sakkari is 5-5 and Andreeva 7-3, so the recent win column leans the teenager’s way. Sakkari has held 71% of her service games and won 60% of first sets, which points to a player capable of getting a foothold early.

Andreeva’s deciding-set win rate sits at 75%, but she has also averaged about five double faults per match in that spell, a reminder that free points could swing momentum quickly.

How to watch Maria Sakkari v. Mirra Andreeva Online

By signing up at bet365, you gain access to one of the most reliable live streaming services available for this match and the rest of the tennis season. Access requires a funded account and is limited to users 18+. Be aware that geo-restrictions apply, so verify the schedule for your specific location.

Bookmakers make Andreeva a clear favourite

Bookmakers price Andreeva at 1.17 against Sakkari at 5, and the first-set market follows the same pattern at 1.29 versus 3.75. It is a strong early-season view, even as the calendar is only just settling into the Australian Open.

Sakkari M.

Andreeva M.

Win Percentage

50 %70 %

Titles

0 1

Aces per match

2.9 3

Double Faults per match

0.7 4.8

First Serve Points Won

64 %60 %

Second Serve Points Won

47 %35 %

Return Points Won

44 %47 %

Break Points Converted

46 %49 %

Break Points Saved

56 %58 %

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Return pressure versus protecting the second serve

Andreeva’s higher ranking comes with a clear expectation, but Sakkari’s numbers suggest she can apply pressure when points stretch, including a 48% return-games-won rate on hard courts this season. The workload also tilts slightly towards Sakkari, who has spent 8 hours 42 minutes on court across her last five matches compared with Andreeva’s 6 hours 38 minutes, and that can matter if the match extends. If Andreeva keeps her serve tidy, the odds say she controls most scenarios; if the double-fault count climbs, Sakkari’s chances of dragging it into a longer contest rise.

Prediction

Australian Open WTAPICK

Mirra Andreeva

80%

Predicted Winner

Maria Sakkari

Overall indicators tilt towards Mirra Andreeva: the market is emphatic at 1.17, and her 7-1 hard-court start to the season backs up that positioning. Maria Sakkari has enough recent first-set bite and returning threat to keep it uncomfortable, especially with a slightly heavier recent workload on her opponent’s side not apparent, but the balance of form and pricing still points to Andreeva.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS