Best and Worst Tournaments by Yield in the 2024 Tennis Season

We'll take a look at the outcomes for both prediction methods: by odds and by form.Out of the 39 ATP tournaments we analyzed, the most profitable was ATP Gstaad, with a yield of 29.81%. If we take a closer look at the prediction success rate of ATP Gstaad matches (available on the Prediction Check page), we see that it is over 85%, with some rounds achieving 100% success (quarterfinals), while the semifinals were complete misses (0%).You might wonder how ATP Gstaad achieved such a good yield despite having a whole round where predictions were incorrect. The yield represents the return on your stakes; in this case, the semifinals consisted of just two matches where the stakes were lost. This minimal loss did not significantly impact the total profit of the tournament, resulting in a very good overall yield.See below our chart for the best/worst performing ATP tournaments, by odds predictions.If we can identify a pattern here, it suggests that a prediction success rate above 75% might be worth considering for a positive yield.

The only Grand Slam tournament in 2024 that yielded a positive return was Wimbledon, with a modest yield of 2.34%. This makes it the standout among the Grand Slams for bettors who relied on predictions.Roland Garros came in second, although it narrowly missed breaking even, posting a yield of -0.32%. The US Open followed with a yield of -1.7%, reflecting a more challenging tournament for predicting match outcomes.Unfortunately, data for the Australian Open is missing from our 2024 predictions, so it was not included in this analysis.

Odds predictions delivered the best results at WTA Rome, which achieved a remarkable 23% yield. Other high performers included WTA Washington (13.11% yield) and WTA Hong Kong (7.38% yield).The form-based predictions also found success at WTA Rome, with a yield of 21.6%, confirming its consistency as the most predictable tournament of the 2024 season. Other standout events included WTA Bad Homburg (18.41% yield) and WTA Jiujiang (11.54% yield).See below our chart for the best/worst performing WTA tournaments, by odds predictions.Wimbledon was the only Grand Slam to deliver a positive yield under odds predictions (0.33%). Both Roland Garros and the US Open showed negative yields under both methods, with form predictions performing worse than odds.What about negative performances? Tournaments like WTA Budapest and WTA Osaka resulted in significant losses across both methods, underlining their unpredictability. There was also a big divergence in WTA Bad Homburg, where form-based predictions excelled (18.41% yield), while odds predictions struggled (-24.46% yield).See below our chart for the best/worst performing WTA tournaments, by form-based predictions.

We then analyzed which periods were the best or worst in terms of yields, using the per-odds predictions for our calculations. While we couldn't identify a period of the year where yields were consistently positive, we did uncover some interesting insights.In the ATP tournaments, the least predictable period was during the summer, as tournaments held in this time experienced frequent upsets of varying magnitudes.In the WTA tour, the most unpredictable period occurred between late August and late October, characterized by consistently negative yields.Here are the timeline charts for ATP and WTAThe 2024 tennis season revealed clear trends in tournament predictability overall. While no period offered consistently positive yields, certain tournaments, like ATP Geneva and WTA Rome, stood out for their reliability. These insights can help guide smarter betting strategies in the future. Use these findings to refine your approach for upcoming tournaments, and stay tuned as we prepare player-based analysis for the 2024 season.