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ATP/Adelaide ATP/1/16-finals

Tsitsipas v Vukic in Adelaide: where to watch and round-of-32 preview

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 12, 2026(..)

Stefanos Tsitsipas meets Aleksandar Vukic in the Adelaide ATP round of 32 on hard courts on 13 Jan 2026, with the contest set for best-of-three sets.

Below is the key match-up context, plus how to watch or follow the action live, including live stream and live scoring options. The early numbers lean one way, but it is only week two of the new season and that can matter.

FINISHED

Tsitsipas S.

0
2

Vukic A.

6-7

, 6-7

Tsitsipas won their only meeting fast

There is one previous match between them and it went Stefanos Tsitsipas' way, with a straight-sets win over Aleksandar Vukic at Los Cabos in February 2024 on hard courts. The overall and hard-court record is 1-0, and that match averaged 15 games, so there was little room for a swing in momentum.

Tsitsipas held serve throughout that contest and created far more break chances, which is a simple but important reference point ahead of another hard-court meeting.

Tsitsipas S.

Vukic A.

Wins
1 0
First Serve Points Won
76 %63 %
Second Serve Points Won
68 %38 %
Return Points Won
49 %27 %
Break Points Converted
36 %0 %
Break Points Saved
100 %64 %

Early hard-court returns favour Tsitsipas

On hard courts this season Tsitsipas is 3-0, and his hold rate has been strong at 92% while he has also won 22% of return games. Vukic is 2-1, but the underlying numbers are more volatile, with a 50% hold rate and no return games won so far. It is only the second week of the season, though, so those splits come with a health warning.

How to watch Stefanos Tsitsipas v. Aleksandar Vukic Online

For reliable live streaming of this match, we recommend signing up with bet365. Please note that this service is strictly for users aged 18+ who maintain a funded account. Due to broadcasting rights, geo-restrictions may apply, so we advise checking the schedule to confirm availability in your location. In our experience, this is the premier option for watching the entire tennis season.

Vukic arrives match-tough, Tsitsipas steadier

Across the last 10 matches Vukic has a 6-4 record compared with Tsitsipas' 5-5, yet Tsitsipas comes in on a three-match winning run from the United Cup in early January. The serve figures are close, but Tsitsipas has won 21% of return games over that spell compared with Vukic's 11%, a gap that can decide tight hard-court sets.

The workload trends are different too, with Vukic logging 9 hours 33 minutes across his last five matches and playing back-to-back recently, while Tsitsipas is at 5 hours 3 minutes over his last five.

Tsitsipas S.

Vukic A.

Win Percentage
50 %60 %
Aces per match
9.8 8
Double Faults per match
3.5 2.3
First Serve Points Won
78 %70 %
Second Serve Points Won
51 %53 %
Return Points Won
37 %33 %
Break Points Converted
38 %38 %
Break Points Saved
68 %64 %

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Bookmakers make Tsitsipas a clear favourite

Bookmakers price Stefanos Tsitsipas at 1.29 against Aleksandar Vukic at 3.14; the first-set prices are 1.45 versus 2.78. That shapes expectations, but early-season matches can still swing on a few points.

Pressure points: return bite versus recent grind

The cleanest story here is whether Tsitsipas can turn his stronger recent return numbers into early scoreboard pressure, because Vukic has tended to give up more ground on return in this match-up and across his last 10. Vukic does arrive battle-tested after a busy stretch that included Adelaide qualifying, and that can sharpen timing even if it also adds to the physical load.

With the season still in its opening fortnight, the read is clearer on patterns than on certainty. Expect the first set to matter, especially with Tsitsipas' higher recent first-set win rate.

Prediction

Adelaide ATPPICK

Stefanos Tsitsipas

71%
Predicted Winner

Aleksandar Vukic

Overall indicators tilt towards Stefanos Tsitsipas: the market has him clearly shorter and the only head-to-head ended in a straight-sets win on hard courts. His early-season hard-court numbers also point to a sturdier hold and a more productive return game, even with the small sample caveat in week two. Aleksandar Vukic's recent match volume makes him a live test, but the balance of evidence still leans Tsitsipas.

Odds

Odds:

To Win Match

Total Games

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