Machac v Munar: where to watch live stream for Adelaide quarter-final

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jan 14, 2026(..)

Tomas Machac meets Jaume Munar in the Adelaide ATP quarter-finals on hard courts on 14 January, with a best-of-three spot in the last four on the line. This preview also covers where to watch or follow the match live.

They are separated by just three places in the rankings, so fine margins matter. It is only the second week of the 2026 season, with the Australian Open looming, which can sharpen priorities and expose any early rust. The market leans one way, but recent patterns suggest it may not be straightforward.

FINISHED

Machac T.

Munar J.

6-4

, 6-4

Machac converting chances in a small sample

On hard courts this season, Machac is 2-1 while Munar is 2-2, so the data set is thin and should be treated carefully. Still, Machac has converted 54% of break points compared with Munar’s 38%, which can decide tight sets quickly. Munar has held serve 85% of the time and his hard-court matches have averaged 25.3 games, hinting at longer, more physical contests.

Adelaide wins for both, but Munar has needed more work

Machac comes in off back-to-back straight-set wins in Adelaide, beating James Duckworth and Quentin Halys without dropping a set. Munar has also won his last two here, but he needed three sets to get past Francisco Cerundolo after a straight-sets win over Daniel Altmaier.

Over the last 10 matches overall, Munar is 4-6 and has combined an 84% service-games-won rate with 14% on return, while Machac is 3-7 and has started slowly at times, winning 30% of first sets.

Tomas Machac v. Jaume Munar Live Streaming

Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.

Bookmakers shade Machac as the favourite

Bookmakers price Machac at 1.59 against Munar at 2.39; first-set prices are 1.64 versus 2.15. Coverage options vary by territory, so viewers should check local broadcast listings for live viewing, while live score and match trackers provide a reliable way to follow point by point.

Machac T.

Munar J.

Win Percentage

30 %40 %

Aces per match

6.7 7.7

Double Faults per match

2.4 1.7

First Serve Points Won

68 %77 %

Second Serve Points Won

47 %50 %

Return Points Won

28 %34 %

Break Points Converted

42 %44 %

Break Points Saved

67 %63 %

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Workload and early-set pressure could swing it

With the season barely underway, freshness can matter as much as form, and both players are on a back-to-back schedule this week. Munar has logged 11 hours 26 minutes across his last five matches, compared with Machac’s 5 hours 49 minutes, which may leave a heavier load in the legs if this turns into a long, grinding quarter-final. Munar’s recent return numbers are stronger, but Machac’s cleaner Adelaide wins and sharper break-point conversion point to a player who can punish brief dips.

Prediction

Adelaide ATPPICK

Tomas Machac

60%

Predicted Winner

Jaume Munar

Overall indicators tilt slightly towards Tomas Machac: the market makes him favourite and his Adelaide run has been efficient, with two straight-set wins and a lighter recent workload. Jaume Munar’s stronger last-10 serve-and-return profile keeps the match live, though, especially if he starts fast and extends rallies. In a very early-season spot, Machac’s ability to take chances on key points is the edge.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS