Recent form gives Paul a clear London edge

Analysis by Predict Tennis

Note: Written by humans, with the help of AI. Based on real statistical data.

Published: Jun 13, 2026(..)

Tommy Paul faces Jaume Munar in the London ATP 1/16-finals on grass on 15 June, with the match set for best of three sets.

The main angle is clear enough. Paul has the stronger ranking, the better recent numbers and firm market support, while Munar arrives with a thin grass sample and a run of recent defeats.

FINISHED

(CANCELED)

Paul T.

Munar J.

Thin grass data leaves caution

The grass picture is limited. Munar has one recorded match on the surface this season and lost it, holding serve well enough at 80% but failing to win a return game, which matters against a player priced as strongly as Paul.

With so little grass evidence for Paul in the supplied season numbers, the broader record still carries weight. His 26-11 season and 85% service-games won rate give him the more stable base.

Recent form favours Paul

Paul is 6-4 across his last 10 matches, compared with Munar's 4-6. The gap is not huge, but Paul's 80% service-games won rate and 28% return-games won rate both sit above Munar's recent marks.

There is also a momentum contrast. Paul reached the Hamburg final and then won two matches at the French Open, while Munar has lost his last three completed matches.

Bookmakers make Paul clear favourite

Bookmakers price Paul at 1.25 against Munar at 4. The first-set market follows the same line, with Paul at 1.33 and Munar at 3.4, so the market view is not only about the final result.

Serve control can set the tone

Paul's edge is built around steadier hold numbers, a better recent return rate and stronger season results. Munar may need to keep the first set tight to bring pressure into the match, especially because the supplied grass numbers show little return impact so far.

Workload adds one small note of balance. Paul has played 13 hours and 18 minutes across his last five matches, while Munar has logged 8 hours and 44 minutes, though neither player is flagged for a back-to-back spot.

Paul T.

Munar J.

Win Percentage

70 %40 %

Aces per match

4.4 2.3

Double Faults per match

2.3 2

First Serve Points Won

70 %69 %

Second Serve Points Won

56 %47 %

Return Points Won

40 %38 %

Break Points Converted

43 %39 %

Break Points Saved

61 %62 %

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Prediction

London ATPPICK

Tommy Paul

72%

Predicted Winner

Jaume Munar

The data points more strongly towards Paul, mainly because the market, recent form and season service numbers all lean his way. Munar has enough baseline resilience to make parts of the match awkward, but his recent run and limited grass return numbers leave him needing a sharp start.

Odds

Odds:EUUKUS