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Victoria Mboko meets Clara Tauson in the Australian Open WTA last 16 on hard courts on 23 January, with a best-of-three format setting a clear early-season test. Alongside the match-up, here is how to watch or follow the action live.
With the 2026 season only just settling into its third week, form lines can be noisy, yet the recent numbers and the market both lean towards Mboko. Tauson is ranked slightly higher, so the intrigue is whether her serve can flip the script on a surface that rewards first strikes.FINISHED
Mboko V.
Tauson C.
7-6
, 5-7
, 6-3
It is only the third week of the season, so the sample is small, but Mboko has begun 7-2 on hard courts. Tauson is 2-2 so far, and while her break-point figures have held up, the match volume is lighter. Mboko's matches have averaged 22.6 games, which hints at sets that stay close and can turn on a handful of points.
Across the last 10 matches, Mboko is 8-2 and has held serve 84% of the time, giving her steady control of scorelines. Tauson is 4-6 in the same span and her hold rate sits at 66%, even though she is striking more aces at 6.3 per match. If it stretches late, Mboko's 80% deciding-set win rate stands out against Tauson's 25%.
Want to catch the match live? Our top pick is bet365. It's hands-down our favorite way to follow the whole tennis season. Just keep in mind a few rules: you need to be over 18 and have a funded account to access the stream. Also, geo-restrictions do apply, so make sure to double-check that the match is available in your region before signing up.
Bookmakers price Mboko at 1.5 to win the match, with Tauson at 2.63, and the first-set lines are 1.57 versus 2.38. The market view points to Mboko having the cleaner path through key moments, even against the slightly higher-ranked player.
Mboko V.
Tauson C.
The Best Tennis Stats.
Our new tennis stats site is live!
The match shapes as a test of Mboko's steadier service games against Tauson's ability to find quick points when her delivery is firing. Tauson has carried a slightly heavier recent load at 4 hours 12 minutes across her last three matches, compared with Mboko's 3 hours 46, though neither arrives off back-to-back days.
On hard courts, that blend of holding up under pressure and applying return heat matters, and Mboko's recent return rate of 38% offers a route to breaks if Tauson's level dips.Prediction
Victoria Mboko
Clara Tauson
Overall indicators tilt towards Victoria Mboko, with the odds making her the shorter price and her last-10 results markedly stronger than Clara Tauson's. Tauson's ranking edge and the early-season setting keep it from being straightforward, but Mboko's higher hold rate and better deciding-set record point to her edging the key exchanges.
Odds
